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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
18.10.2026 21:30
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
60.6%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.34 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
23.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 39.4%
Draw 20.6%
Universidad Catolica Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC1
Universidad Catolica1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WWDLW
43 GF / 45 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
57 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
20
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
17
3.54
Shots on Goal
4.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 45 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 35 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic Universidad Catolica
16 Wins 15
13 Draws 9
16 Losses 11
43 Goals For 57
45 Goals Against 37
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
20 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 17
3 Over 3.5 10
15 Clean Sheets 12
14 Failed To Score 6
3.54 Shots On Goal 4.74
12.17 Total Shots 14.32
4.27 Corners 4.56
49% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad Catolica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC sit 6 with 44 points after 30 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 32:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Benedetto (5 goals), J. Quiñónez (3 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from T. Martínez (2 assists), D. Benedetto (1 assists), J. Quiñónez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 51 points after 30 outings. The return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 51:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Fajardo (10 goals), D. Clavijo (5 goals), M. Alonso (5 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (10 assists), J. Fajardo (3 assists), D. Clavijo (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.4%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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