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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
25.10.2026 12:15
Gargzdai stadium

Banga vs Šiauliai Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Banga Win 74.6%
Draw 16.3%
Šiauliai Win 9.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Banga1.62
Šiauliai1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Banga Banga
WWDLW
52 GF / 41 GA
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WLDWL
34 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
16
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Banga Banga 36 matches
Šiauliai Šiauliai 37 matches
Banga Statistic Šiauliai
14 Wins 6
10 Draws 10
12 Losses 21
52 Goals For 34
41 Goals Against 70
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
16 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Banga's more proactive style and Šiauliai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Šiauliai. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Banga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 41 points compared to Šiauliai in 9 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Šiauliai having the stronger overall control.

Banga Analysis

With 41 points from 29 games and a place of 5, Banga still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 33:30 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Šiauliai Analysis

Šiauliai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 17 points from 29 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 24:58, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Banga won 6 times, Šiauliai won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Banga's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.9%)
H2H summary: Banga wins 6, draws 4, Šiauliai wins 5

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 30 15 5 10 49:35 14 50
W W L W D
3 29 13 11 5 39:29 10 50
L D D L W
4 29 13 7 9 46:38 8 46
D W W L W
5
Banga Home
29 11 8 10 33:30 3 41
L W L L D
6 29 10 9 10 39:43 -4 39
D L L D L
7 29 10 5 14 31:44 -13 35
W L W W W
8 30 4 14 12 32:52 -20 26
L D D L D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L