Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
15 matches
Cruzeiro
18 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 21 | Goals For | 21 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.22 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 12.83 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 55.2% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bahia's more proactive style and Cruzeiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cruzeiro. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bahia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 22 points compared to Cruzeiro in 15 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bahia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cruzeiro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cruzeiro having the stronger overall control.
Bahia are currently 6 in the standings with 22 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 19:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Juba (6 goals), Everaldo (3 goals), Willian Jose (3 goals), with creative support from Everton Ribeiro (3 assists), Jean Lucas (2 assists), Luciano Juba (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Cruzeiro sit 15 with 16 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 18:24 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Christian (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (3 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), with creative support from Matheus Pereira (2 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), L. Romero (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 3 times, Cruzeiro won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Bahia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Bahia
3
7
3
10
2
3
Lineups
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Coritiba
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Remo
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Internacional
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|