Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
84.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
21 matches
Chapecoense-sc
18 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 31 | Goals For | 19 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.89 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.95 | Shots On Goal | 3.41 |
| 13.58 | Total Shots | 12.82 |
| 5.74 | Corners | 3.65 |
| 55.7% | Ball Possession | 43.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bahia's more proactive style and Chapecoense-sc's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bahia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Chapecoense-sc in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chapecoense-sc having the stronger overall control. Bahia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 26 points compared to Chapecoense-sc in 20 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chapecoense-sc.
Bahia are currently 6 in the standings with 26 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 25:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Juba (7 goals), Everaldo (4 goals), Willian Jose (3 goals), with creative support from Everton Ribeiro (4 assists), Jean Lucas (2 assists), Luciano Juba (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without Leo Vieira, Luciano Juba, C. Olivera, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
With 9 points from 17 games and a place of 20, Chapecoense-sc still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 17:33, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through W. Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Neto Pessoa (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Pacheco (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), W. Clar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Victor Caetano, Robert Conceicao, Mauricio Garcez unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 4 times, Chapecoense-sc won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Bahia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Bahia
6
2
6
5
5
3
Lineups
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Corinthians
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Coritiba
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Remo
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Corinthians
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 24 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Away
|
23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24:46 | -22 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|