JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
05.09.2026 10:00
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: Hiroki Kasahara, Japan
Avispa Fukuoka
Match Timeline
Mito Hollyhock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Arata Watanabe
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
50'
Kokoro Maeda
Avispa Fukuoka
53'
Shu Morooka · Assist: Daiki Fukazawa
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
54'
Yu Funabashi ↔ Koshi Osaki
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
57'
Shu Morooka
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
62'
Werik Popo ↔ Shintaro Nago
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
63'
Kokoro Maeda ↔ Keiya Shiihashi
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
63'
Teppei Oka ↔ Yota Maejima
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
69'
Kotaro Uchino ↔ Patryck Ferreira
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
69'
Arata Watanabe ↔ Chihiro Kato
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
69'
Kaito Taniguchi ↔ Hayata Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
70'
Yoshiki Torikai
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
77'
Yuma Tsujioka ↔ Daiki Miya
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
82'
Yasuki Kimoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
85'
Yoshiki Torikai ↔ Ryo Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
86'
Yasuki Kimoto · Assist: Sho Omori
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
89'
Yu Hashimoto ↔ Kazuki Fujimoto
Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds 2.08
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.4%
2.08
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.06
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.55
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Avispa Fukuoka Win 54.4%
Draw 6.5%
Mito Hollyhock Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avispa Fukuoka1.52
Mito Hollyhock1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
WWDLW
8 GF / 9 GA
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
3
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
3
6.4
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 5 matches
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 5 matches
Avispa Fukuoka Statistic Mito Hollyhock
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 2
4 Losses 1
8 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 7
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
3 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
6.4 Shots On Goal 4.4
15.8 Total Shots 13.8
5.2 Corners 5.2
43.4% Ball Possession 36.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 times, Mito Hollyhock won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Avispa Fukuoka's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1 / Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
H2H summary: Avispa Fukuoka wins 5, draws 6, Mito Hollyhock wins 4

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 12:5 7 19
W W W W W
2 8 6 0 2 17:12 5 18
W W L L W
3 8 5 2 1 20:6 14 17
W W L W D
4 8 5 2 1 21:10 11 17
L D W W D
5 8 5 2 1 14:8 6 17
W W W D W
6 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
W D W D L
7 8 3 4 1 16:12 4 13
D W W L W
8 8 4 1 3 17:16 1 13
D L L L W
9 8 4 1 3 11:10 1 13
L W W W L
10 8 4 0 4 16:18 -2 12
W L W W W
11 8 3 2 3 7:12 -5 11
D L D W L
12 8 3 1 4 6:8 -2 10
W W L D L
13 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L L D W D
14 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W L L D W
15 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
D W L D L
16 8 1 3 4 8:14 -6 6
L L L D D
17 8 2 0 6 7:14 -7 6
L L L L W
18 8 1 1 6 9:12 -3 4
L L D L L
19 8 0 4 4 4:12 -8 4
L D D L L
20 8 1 1 6 7:18 -11 4
L D W L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League