BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: P. Zanovelli
Avai
Match Timeline
Fortaleza EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
-5'
Pierre
Fortaleza EC
🟨
33'
Bruno Baldini
Avai
🟨
38'
Ryan Gustavo
Fortaleza EC
🟨
45+2'
Guilherme Aquino
Avai
🔄
46'
Jean Lucas ↔ Sorriso
Avai
🔄
46'
Kaua Rocha ↔ Ronald
Fortaleza EC
🔄
63'
Vitinho ↔ Kayke
Fortaleza EC
🔄
64'
Ryan ↔ Rodrigo
Fortaleza EC
🟨
67'
Emanuel Brítez
Fortaleza EC
🔄
69'
Rafael Bilu ↔ Wenderson
Avai
🔄
80'
Pierre ↔ Lucas Sasha
Fortaleza EC
🔄
80'
T. Pochettino ↔ Welliton
Fortaleza EC
🟨
83'
Douglas Teixeira
Avai
🔄
84'
Thayllon ↔ Isaias
Avai
🔄
85'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Hyan
Avai
🟨
90+6'
Emanuel Brítez
Fortaleza EC
🟥
90+6'
Emanuel Brítez
Fortaleza EC
🔄
90+4'
Daniel Penha ↔ F. Avenatti
Avai

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 39.4%
Draw 17.5%
Fortaleza EC Win 43.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.31
Fortaleza EC1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
3.14
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 7 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 7 matches
Avai Statistic Fortaleza EC
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 8
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
3.14 Shots On Goal 3.86
11.57 Total Shots 12.14
4.43 Corners 4.14
50% Ball Possession 38.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortaleza EC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortaleza EC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fortaleza EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 14 points while Avai sit 11 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Fortaleza EC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Avai Analysis

Avai sit 11 with 9 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Walace Franca (3 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), F. Avenatti (1 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (1 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 14 points after 7 matches. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 10:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. B. Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (2 goals), Luiz Fernando (1 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 1 times, Fortaleza EC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Avai's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 1, draws 2, Fortaleza EC wins 4
Stats
Avai Avai
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 4
19 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 6
9 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
486 Total passes 389
393 Passes accurate 294
1.12 expected_goals 0.61
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
Fortaleza EC
Leo Aragao
Leo Aragao
Wallison
Wallison
Guilherme Aquino
Guilherme Aquino
Bruno Baldini
Bruno Baldini
DG
DG
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Thayllon
Thayllon
Daniel Penha
Daniel Penha
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Rafael Bilu
Rafael Bilu
Vinicius Silvestre
Vinicius Silvestre
E. Britez
E. Britez
Luan Freitas
Luan Freitas
Kaua Rocha
Kaua Rocha
Mailton
Mailton
Pierre
Pierre
Ryan
Ryan
Mauricio Junior
Mauricio Junior
Vitinho
Vitinho
T. Pochettino
T. Pochettino
Luiz Fernando
Luiz Fernando
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
Leo Aragao
G
2
Wallison
D
15
Guilherme Aquino
🟨 45+2'
D
55
Bruno Baldini
🟨 33'
D
36
DG
🟨 83'
D
77
Ze Ricardo
M
8
Luiz Henrique
↓ 85'
M
43
Thayllon
↓ 84'
M
14
Daniel Penha
↓ 90+4'
M
10
Jean Lucas
↓ 46'
M
7
Rafael Bilu
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
21
Otavio Passos
G
1
Igor Bohn
G
30
Cristiano
F
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
95
Wenderson
↑ 69'
M
4
Gabriel Simples
D
18
Hyan
↑ 85'
M
20
Isaias
↑ 84'
F
11
Sorriso
↑ 46'
F
9
F. Avenatti
↑ 90+4'
F
6
N. Cabral
D
16
Jamerson
M
Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
Vinicius Silvestre
G
2
E. Britez
🟨 67' 🟨 90+6' 🟥 90+6'
D
4
Luan Freitas
D
33
Kaua Rocha
↓ 46'
D
22
Mailton
M
5
Pierre
↓ 80' 🟥 -5'
M
37
Ryan
↓ 64' 🟨 38'
M
13
Mauricio Junior
M
11
Vitinho
↓ 63'
F
7
T. Pochettino
↓ 80'
F
32
Luiz Fernando
F
Substitutes
12
Brenno
G
29
Rodrigo
↑ 64'
M
8
Ronald
↑ 46'
M
75
Rodriguinho
M
28
Paulinho
D
38
Lucca Prior
M
99
Kayke
↑ 63'
F
88
Lucas Sasha
↑ 80'
M
20
Matheus Rossetto
M
31
Welliton
↑ 80'
F
77
Paulo Baya
F
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
Last matches: Avai
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H: Avai vs Fortaleza EC
10.05.26
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
09.10.22
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Avai
2
0
L
16.06.22
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
3
2
W
30.10.19
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
1
3
L
13.07.19
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Avai
2
0
L
10.11.18
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
25.07.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Avai
1
1
D
Last matches: Avai
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
10.05.26
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
16.06.22
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
3
2
W
30.10.19
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
1
3
L
10.11.18
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H away: Fortaleza EC
10.05.26
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
16.06.22
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
3
2
L
30.10.19
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
1
3
W
10.11.18
H2H
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18
Avai Home
17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation