Aucas vs Libertad Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
67.7%
|
1.14 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.4%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Aucas
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
28 matches
Libertad
26 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 31 | Goals For | 29 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 3.73 |
| 12.12 | Total Shots | 11.08 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 3.65 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Aucas's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Libertad look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad.
With 41 points from 25 games and a place of 4, Aucas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 29:26, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Ayrton Preciado (3 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), with creative support from Ayrton Preciado (3 assists), Piero Guzmán (3 assists), Andres Mena (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
So far, Libertad have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 34 points from 25 matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 28:29 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vilington Branda (6 goals), Gabriel Cortez (4 goals), Antony Chére (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Cortez (4 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Enrique Caicedo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 2 times, Libertad won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Aucas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Home
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Libertad
Away
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 36 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|