Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Aucas Win 0%
Draw 0%
Libertad Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aucas1.16
Libertad0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aucas
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Libertad
WLDWL
18 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.95
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
9
4.26
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
21 matches
Libertad
19 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 18 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.26 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.21 | Total Shots | 9.21 |
| 4.95 | Corners | 3.11 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 42.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 2 times, Libertad won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Aucas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Aucas 4-1-4-1 / Libertad 5-3-2
H2H summary: Aucas wins 2, draws 2, Libertad wins 4
Last matches: Aucas
16.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
Last matches: Libertad
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
H2H: Aucas vs Libertad
02.05.26
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
L
23.08.25
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
L
06.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
1
1
D
04.09.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
0
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
1
2
L
01.04.23
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
2
2
D
Last matches: Aucas
16.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
H2H at home: Aucas
06.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
04.09.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
0
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
1
2
L
Last matches: Libertad
12.07.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
H2H away: Libertad
06.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
L
04.09.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
0
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
L
27.08.23
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
1
2
W
Standings
Liga Pro
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 43:19 | 24 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Aucas
Home
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 31 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:18 | 11 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 19:15 | 4 | 28 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 28 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 24 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19:20 | -1 | 23 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 |
Libertad
Away
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 11:18 | -7 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 7:24 | -17 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs