Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Aucas Win 0%
Draw 0%
Libertad Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aucas1.14
Libertad1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aucas
WWDLW
30 GF / 26 GA
Libertad
WLDWL
24 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
9
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.57
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
26 matches
Libertad
23 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 30 | Goals For | 24 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.57 |
| 12.04 | Total Shots | 10.43 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.52 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 45.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 2 times, Libertad won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Aucas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Aucas 4-1-4-1 / Libertad -
H2H summary: Aucas wins 2, draws 2, Libertad wins 4
Last matches: Aucas
08.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
4
L
23.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
Last matches: Libertad
01.08.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
3
0
W
27.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
0
W
21.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
H2H: Aucas vs Libertad
02.05.26
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
L
23.08.25
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
L
06.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
1
1
D
04.09.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
0
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
1
2
L
01.04.23
H2H
Libertad
Aucas
2
2
D
Last matches: Aucas
08.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
4
L
16.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
H2H at home: Aucas
06.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
04.09.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
0
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
1
2
L
Last matches: Libertad
27.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
H2H away: Libertad
06.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
L
04.09.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
0
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
2
0
L
27.08.23
H2H
Aucas
Libertad
1
2
W
Standings
Liga Pro
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 61 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Aucas
Home
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 41 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 35 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23:20 | 3 | 35 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Libertad
Away
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs