MEXICO LIGA MX
05.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Libertad Financiera
Referee: Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina
Atletico San Luis
Match Timeline
Guadalajara Chivas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Andrés Sánchez
Guadalajara Chivas
10'
Ricardo Marín · Assist: Ángel Sepúlveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
30'
Anderson Duarte ↔ Lucas Esteves
Atletico San Luis
🔄
33'
Andrés Sánchez ↔ Manuel Lajud
Atletico San Luis
🟨
45+3'
Johan Caicedo
Atletico San Luis
🔄
45'
Johan Caicedo ↔ Leonardo Flores
Atletico San Luis
🔄
61'
Hugo Camberos ↔ Richard Ledezma
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
61'
Ángel Sepúlveda ↔ Efrain Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
71'
Miguel García ↔ Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
Atletico San Luis
🔄
71'
David Rodriguez ↔ Luis Ronaldo Najera Reyna
Atletico San Luis
🔄
71'
Santiago Sandoval ↔ Luis Rey
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
71'
Daniel Aguirre ↔ Kevin Castañeda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
79'
Fernando González ↔ Brian Gutierrez
Guadalajara Chivas
80'
Richard Ledezma · Assist: Ricardo Marín
Guadalajara Chivas

Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.1%
Odds 4.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.1%
4.25
BTTS Yes
75%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Atletico San Luis Win 51.1%
Draw 16.9%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico San Luis1.52
Guadalajara Chivas1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
WWDLW
23 GF / 12 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.09
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
5
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
1
4.17
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 11 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 9 matches
Atletico San Luis Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
5 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
23 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 6
2.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
5 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 4
8 Over 2.5 1
7 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 3
4.17 Shots On Goal 6.5
13 Total Shots 16
3.17 Corners 8.83
52.2% Ball Possession 60%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico San Luis won 5 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Atletico San Luis's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Atletico San Luis 5-4-1 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atletico San Luis wins 5, draws 3, Guadalajara Chivas wins 6

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:6 9 17
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
4 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 8 4 1 3 11:9 2 13
W L D W W
7 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
8 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
9 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
10 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
11 8 3 2 3 11:12 -1 11
L W L D D
12 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
L L W D L
17 8 1 1 6 6:13 -7 4
W L D L L
18 8 0 0 8 4:23 -19 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)