CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
TD Place Stadium
Referee: R. Villanueva
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
Pacific FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
35'
Yann Régis Toualy
Pacific FC
VAR
36'
Gabriel Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
38'
Wesley Timóteo
Atlético Ottawa
45+6'
Emiliano García
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
45+3'
Loic Cloutier
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
51'
Joshua Belluz
Pacific FC
53'
Alejandro Díaz
Pacific FC
🟨
56'
Josh Heard
Pacific FC
61'
Marco Bustos · Assist: Yann Régis Toualy
Pacific FC
🔄
63'
Jean-Aniel Assi ↔ Tim Arnaud
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
63'
Joaquim Coulanges ↔ Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
63'
Alejandro Díaz ↔ Ronan Kratt
Pacific FC
🔄
72'
Matteo Schiavoni ↔ Aidan Daniels
Pacific FC
76'
Ballou Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
78'
Marco Bustos ↔ Mattias Vales
Pacific FC
🔄
79'
Juan David Quintana ↔ Diego Konincks
Pacific FC
🔄
79'
Josh Heard ↔ Kadin Chung
Pacific FC
🟨
87'
Roshawn Juhmi
Pacific FC
🔄
87'
Wesley Timóteo ↔ Daniel Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
90+6'
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+4'
Juan Castro
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90'
Gabriel Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90'
Emiliano García ↔ Ralph Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90'
Gabriel Antinoro ↔ Kamron Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.8%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 79.8%
Draw 5.9%
Pacific FC Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa1.66
Pacific FC1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
19 GF / 30 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
13 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.08
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
9
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
1.53
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 15 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 12 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic Pacific FC
5 Wins 0
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 9
19 Goals For 13
30 Goals Against 27
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
1.53 Shots On Goal 1.5
4.73 Total Shots 4.58
1.87 Corners 1.92
31.8% Ball Possession 25.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pacific FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlético Ottawa expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Pacific FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Pacific FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Atlético Ottawa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 18 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Placed 3 with 18 points from 13 outings, Atlético Ottawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC sit 8 with 3 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 13:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bustos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 8 times, Pacific FC won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 4-3-2-1 / Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 8, draws 5, Pacific FC wins 2
Stats
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC Pacific FC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 7
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 6
13 Shots insidebox 14
1 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
476 Total passes 437
408 Passes accurate 374
3.09 expected_goals 4.59
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
Formation
Pacific FC
Christopher Kalongo
Christopher Kalongo
Jean-Aniel Assi
Jean-Aniel Assi
Rony Mbomio
Rony Mbomio
Loic Cloutier
Loic Cloutier
Wesley Timóteo
Wesley Timóteo
Gabriel Antinoro
Gabriel Antinoro
Manny Aparicio
Manny Aparicio
Juan Castro
Juan Castro
Joaquim Coulanges
Joaquim Coulanges
Ballou Tabla
Ballou Tabla
Emiliano García
Emiliano García
Sean Melvin
Sean Melvin
Josh Heard
Josh Heard
Juan David Quintana
Juan David Quintana
Joshua Belluz
Joshua Belluz
Christian Greco-Taylor
Christian Greco-Taylor
Roshawn Juhmi
Roshawn Juhmi
Taras Gomulka
Taras Gomulka
Marco Bustos
Marco Bustos
Matteo Schiavoni
Matteo Schiavoni
Yann Régis Toualy
🎯
Yann Régis Toualy
Alejandro Díaz
Alejandro Díaz
Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2
Starting XI
31
Christopher Kalongo
G
14
Jean-Aniel Assi
↓ 63'
D
18
Rony Mbomio
D
28
Loic Cloutier
🟨 45+3'
D
27
Wesley Timóteo
↓ 87' 🟨 38'
D
11
Gabriel Antinoro
↓ 90' 🟨 90'
M
10
Manny Aparicio
M
2
Juan Castro
🟨 90+4'
M
20
Joaquim Coulanges
↓ 63'
M
13
Ballou Tabla
⚽ 76'
F
7
Emiliano García
⚽ 45+6' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
37
Tim Arnaud
↑ 63'
M
21
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
⚽ 90+6' ↑ 63'
F
5
Daniel Aguilar
↑ 87'
M
19
Ralph Khoury
↑ 90'
F
30
Kamron Habibullah
↑ 90'
M
1
Tristan Crampton
G
3
Julian Dunn-Johnson
D
Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
55
Sean Melvin
G
11
Josh Heard
↓ 79' 🟨 56'
D
5
Juan David Quintana
↓ 79'
D
12
Joshua Belluz
D
15
Christian Greco-Taylor
D
66
Roshawn Juhmi
🟨 87'
M
16
Taras Gomulka
M
10
Marco Bustos
⚽ 61' ↓ 78'
M
21
Matteo Schiavoni
↓ 72'
M
64
Yann Régis Toualy
🎯 61'
M
9
Alejandro Díaz
⚽ 53' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
27
Ronan Kratt
↑ 63'
F
8
Aidan Daniels
↑ 72'
M
37
Mattias Vales
↑ 78'
M
7
Kadin Chung
↑ 79'
D
4
Diego Konincks
↑ 79'
D
1
Eleias Himaras
G
2
Tristan Marshall
D
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
22.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
19.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
4
0
W
16.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
08.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
Last matches: Pacific FC
22.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
2
L
15.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
08.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
05.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
L
26.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
5
L
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
H2H: Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC
26.07.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
30.05.26
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
06.09.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
0
W
27.07.25
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
2
W
07.06.25
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
1
W
22.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
3
W
07.07.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
0
1
L
30.05.24
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
L
18.05.24
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W
08.05.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
0
0
D
13.09.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
1
1
D
13.08.23
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W
01.07.23
H2H
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
19.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
4
0
W
08.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Ottawa
26.07.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
06.09.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
1
W
22.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
1
1
D
07.07.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
0
1
L
08.05.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
0
0
D
13.09.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Pacific FC
22.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
2
L
15.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
26.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
5
L
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
H2H away: Pacific FC
26.07.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
L
06.09.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
1
L
22.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
1
1
D
07.07.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
0
1
W
08.05.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
0
0
D
13.09.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
1
1
D

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 2 3 29:13 16 41
W W L L D
2 18 12 4 2 36:11 25 40
W W D W W
3 19 9 3 7 32:33 -1 30
L W W W L
4 19 8 3 8 26:22 4 27
L L D W W
5 19 5 5 9 25:30 -5 20
W L L D L
6 18 5 4 9 26:33 -7 19
D L L D W
7 16 4 6 6 21:35 -14 18
D W D L L
8 17 0 5 12 18:36 -18 5
L D D L L