26.07.2026 18:00
TD Place Stadium
Referee: R. Villanueva
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
Pacific FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
35'
Yann Régis Toualy
Pacific FC
VAR
36'
Gabriel Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
38'
Wesley Timóteo
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
45+3'
Loic Cloutier
Atlético Ottawa
45'
E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
51'
Joshua Belluz
Pacific FC
53'
A. Diaz
Pacific FC
🟨
56'
Josh Heard
Pacific FC
62'
M. Bustos · Assist: Y. R. Toualy
Pacific FC
🔄
63'
J. Coulanges ↔ N. Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
63'
J. Assi ↔ T. Arnaud
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
63'
A. Diaz ↔ R. Kratt
Pacific FC
🔄
72'
M. Schiavoni ↔ A. Daniels
Pacific FC
76'
B. Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
78'
M. Bustos ↔ M. Vales
Pacific FC
🔄
79'
J. Heard ↔ K. Chung
Pacific FC
🔄
79'
J. Quintana ↔ D. Konincks
Pacific FC
🟨
87'
Roshawn Juhmi
Pacific FC
🔄
87'
W. Timoteo ↔ D. Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+4'
Juan Castro
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90'
Gabriel Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+4'
G. Antinoro ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+4'
E. Garcia ↔ R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
90'
N. Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.8%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 79.8%
Draw 5.9%
Pacific FC Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa1.66
Pacific FC1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
19 GF / 30 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
13 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.08
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
9
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
1.53
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 15 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 12 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic Pacific FC
5 Wins 0
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 9
19 Goals For 13
30 Goals Against 27
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
1.53 Shots On Goal 1.5
4.73 Total Shots 4.58
1.87 Corners 1.92
31.8% Ball Possession 25.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pacific FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlético Ottawa expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Pacific FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Pacific FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Atlético Ottawa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 18 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Placed 3 with 18 points from 13 outings, Atlético Ottawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC sit 8 with 3 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 13:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bustos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 8 times, Pacific FC won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 4-3-2-1 / Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 8, draws 5, Pacific FC wins 2

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 5 2 42:13 29 50
D W W W W
2 22 14 4 4 34:16 18 46
D W D L W
3 22 10 4 8 34:37 -3 34
L D W L W
4 23 9 4 10 31:29 2 31
D L W L L
5 22 6 5 11 31:37 -6 23
W L L W L
6 20 5 8 7 29:42 -13 23
W D D L D
7 21 6 4 11 29:38 -9 22
L L W D L
8 22 1 8 13 26:44 -18 11
D L D D W