Login Register
30.09.2026 23:00
TD Place Stadium
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
Cavalry FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
E. Kobza · Assist: A. Musse
Cavalry FC
🟨
43'
Diego Gutiérrez
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
51'
Harrison Paton
Cavalry FC
🟨
57'
Adam Pearlman
Cavalry FC
⚽
59'
K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
62'
H. Paton ↔ M. Baldisimo
Cavalry FC
⚽
73'
K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
76'
B. Tabla ↔ G. Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
76'
N. Fleuriau Chateau ↔ A. Escoto
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
77'
N. Edwards ↔ O. Graham-Roache
Cavalry FC
🟨
80'
Goteh Ntignee
Cavalry FC
🟥
81'
Goteh Ntignee
Cavalry FC
🔄
85'
Fewo ↔ C. Ofori
Cavalry FC
🔄
85'
A. Pearlman ↔ N. Myroniuk
Cavalry FC
🔄
85'
A. Musse ↔ M. Henry
Cavalry FC
🔄
88'
D. Gutierrez ↔ J. Castro
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+8'
Michael Baldisimo
Cavalry FC
🔄
90+9'
E. Garcia ↔ J. Assi
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+9'
T. Arnaud ↔ R. Abraham
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
90'
T. Warschewski · Assist: O. Graham-Roache
Cavalry FC
⚽
90'
G. Antinoro · Assist: J. Assi
Atlético Ottawa

Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 37.1%
Draw 14.3%
Cavalry FC Win 48.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa1.04
Cavalry FC1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
35 GF / 46 GA
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WLDWL
48 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
2.09
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
15
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
11
2.81
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 26 matches
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 23 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic Cavalry FC
11 Wins 16
4 Draws 5
11 Losses 2
35 Goals For 48
46 Goals Against 13
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 2.09
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
15 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 3
2.81 Shots On Goal 4.83
8.04 Total Shots 12.74
3.08 Corners 4.65
43.4% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cavalry FC's more proactive style and Atlético Ottawa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cavalry FC. Cavalry FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 50 points while Atlético Ottawa sit 3 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cavalry FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Atlético Ottawa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 34 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 34:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 50 points after 22 matches. The return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 42:13, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Camargo (2 goals), C. Elva (1 goals), T. Warschewski (1 goals), with creative support from S. Camargo (1 assists), C. Elva (1 assists), T. Warschewski (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 6 times, Cavalry FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 4-2-3-1 / Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 6, draws 4, Cavalry FC wins 5

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 57:23 34 57
W D L L W
2 27 17 6 4 48:21 27 57
W W W D D
3 27 13 4 10 41:43 -2 43
L W W W L
4 27 10 7 10 39:36 3 37
W D D D D
5 27 10 5 12 43:47 -4 35
W D W W L
6 27 7 7 13 41:46 -5 28
L D D L W
7 27 6 9 12 40:64 -24 27
L L L W L
8 27 2 8 17 32:61 -29 14
L L L L W