COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
08.11.2026 20:30
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Once Caldas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Nacional1.6
Once Caldas1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
WWDLW
63 GF / 32 GA
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WLDWL
45 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.55
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
15
BTTS Yes
22
23
Over 2.5
13
6.27
Shots on Goal
5.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 33 matches
Once Caldas Once Caldas 29 matches
Atletico Nacional Statistic Once Caldas
22 Wins 10
1 Draws 15
10 Losses 4
63 Goals For 45
32 Goals Against 33
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
15 BTTS Yes 22
25 Over 1.5 24
23 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 4
6.27 Shots On Goal 5.59
16.4 Total Shots 14.85
5.2 Corners 5.15
56.9% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 8 times, Once Caldas won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:9 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Once Caldas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Atletico Nacional wins 8, draws 4, Once Caldas wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L D L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D D L D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W D W L W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D D L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D L D W L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W L W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D D W W
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W D W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D L W L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L L D L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D D L L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L W W D L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L W D D L
Post season qualification