Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsAtletico Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62%
|
1.96 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
1.80 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
47 matches
Once Caldas
41 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wins | 15 |
| 5 | Draws | 18 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 89 | Goals For | 56 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 6.23 | Shots On Goal | 5.87 |
| 16.21 | Total Shots | 15.59 |
| 5.28 | Corners | 5.41 |
| 58.9% | Ball Possession | 54.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Nacional expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Once Caldas in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Once Caldas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Once Caldas.
Atletico Nacional approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with a 35:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Alfredo Morelos (13 goals), Andrés Sarmiento (11 goals), Edwin Cardona (9 goals), with creative support from Andrés Sarmiento (7 assists), Juan Manuel Rengifo (7 assists), Kevin Parra (7 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Once Caldas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 33 points after 19 matches. With 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Dayro Moreno (14 goals), Jefry Zapata (13 goals), Pipe Gómez (4 goals), with creative support from Juan David Cuesta (8 assists), A. Roa (4 assists), A. Correa (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 8 times, Once Caldas won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:9 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Once Caldas
Away
|
19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
W
D
W
|