Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 56.9%
Draw 5.1%
Villarreal Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.68
Villarreal1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
10 GF / 7 GA
Villarreal
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
6
Shots on Goal
7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
5 matches
Villarreal
5 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 10 | Goals For | 8 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 7 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 5 times, Villarreal won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Villarreal 4-4-2
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 5, draws 8, Villarreal wins 2
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Villarreal
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation