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SPAIN › LA LIGA
19.08.2026 19:00
Metropolitano Stadium
Referee: A. Cordero
Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Malaga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Dávid Hancko
Atletico Madrid
🟨
37'
Jorge Domínguez
Atletico Madrid
🟨
45+4'
Carlos Puga
Malaga
🔄
46'
J. Dominguez ↔ M. Llorente
Atletico Madrid
🔄
57'
C. Martin ↔ Lee Kang-In
Atletico Madrid
🔄
57'
R. Mendoza ↔ G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
🔄
57'
A. Ortiz ↔ A. Baena
Atletico Madrid
🔄
67'
C. Dotor ↔ R. Rodriguez
Malaga
🔄
67'
J. Munoz ↔ J. Cruz
Malaga
⚽
70'
Lee Kang-In · Assist: D. Hancko
Atletico Madrid
🔄
72'
C. Puga ↔ J. Salinas
Malaga
🔄
78'
Koke ↔ M. Hjulmand
Atletico Madrid
🟨
80'
Juan Cruz
Malaga
🔄
80'
E. Galilea ↔ R. Enriquez
Malaga
🔄
80'
D. Lorenzo ↔ E. Jauregi
Malaga
⚽
85'
A. Baena
Atletico Madrid
🟨
88'
Ramón Enríquez
Malaga

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 42.9%
Draw 13.8%
Malaga Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid2.08
Malaga2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Malaga Malaga
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 matches
Malaga Malaga 5 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Malaga
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
8 Goals For 12
7 Goals Against 11
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
4 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 10 times, Malaga won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:9 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-1-4-1 / Malaga 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Atletico Madrid 3, Malaga 6
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 10, draws 4, Malaga wins 1

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2