SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Metropolitano Stadium
Referee: A. Cordero

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.17
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.2%
1.17
BTTS Yes
88%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.80
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 42.9%
Draw 13.8%
Malaga Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid2.08
Malaga2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Malaga Malaga
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 matches
Malaga Malaga 5 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Malaga
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
8 Goals For 12
7 Goals Against 11
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
4 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 9 times, Malaga won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Malaga -
Missing players: Atletico Madrid 3, Malaga 6
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 9, draws 4, Malaga wins 2
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
14.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
Last matches: Malaga
12.08.26
Fri
Malaga
Fulham
2
2
D
07.08.26
Fri
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
1
2
L
06.08.26
Fri
Malaga
Al-Arabi SC
4
2
W
30.07.26
Fri
Malaga
Al-Ittihad FC
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Malaga
Leicester
3
3
D
20.06.26
Seg
Malaga
Almeria
2
1
W
14.06.26
Seg
Malaga
Almeria
0
0
D
10.06.26
Seg
Malaga
Las Palmas
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Malaga
Las Palmas
1
0
W
31.05.26
Seg
Malaga
Zaragoza
2
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Malaga
Racing Santander
1
1
D
16.05.26
Seg
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
4
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Malaga
Sporting Gijon
2
1
W
02.05.26
Seg
Malaga
Eibar
4
2
W
25.04.26
Seg
Malaga
Castellón
2
3
L
19.04.26
Seg
Malaga
Almeria
2
3
L
11.04.26
Seg
Malaga
Las Palmas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
01.04.26
Seg
Malaga
FC Andorra
3
3
D
28.03.26
Seg
Malaga
Leganes
0
0
D
H2H: Atletico Madrid vs Malaga
10.02.18
H2H
Malaga
Atletico Madrid
0
1
W
16.09.17
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
0
W
01.04.17
H2H
Malaga
Atletico Madrid
0
2
W
29.10.16
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
4
2
W
23.04.16
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
0
W
20.12.15
H2H
Malaga
Atletico Madrid
1
0
L
11.04.15
H2H
Malaga
Atletico Madrid
2
2
D
22.11.14
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
3
1
W
11.05.14
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
1
D
04.01.14
H2H
Malaga
Atletico Madrid
0
1
W
03.03.13
H2H
Malaga
Atletico Madrid
0
0
D
07.10.12
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
1
W
05.05.12
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
1
W
07.01.12
H2H
Malaga
Atletico Madrid
0
0
D
07.05.11
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
0
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
07.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
3
2
W
24.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
4
1
W
21.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
4
2
W
12.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
4
0
W
08.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
0
1
L
28.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
25.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
3
0
W
18.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
1
0
W
13.12.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
1
W
29.11.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Atletico Madrid
16.09.17
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
0
W
29.10.16
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
4
2
W
23.04.16
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
0
W
22.11.14
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
3
1
W
11.05.14
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
1
D
07.10.12
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
1
W
05.05.12
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
1
W
07.05.11
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
0
3
L
Last matches: Malaga
07.08.26
Fri
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
1
2
L
20.06.26
Seg
Malaga
Almeria
2
1
W
07.06.26
Seg
Malaga
Las Palmas
1
0
W
31.05.26
Seg
Malaga
Zaragoza
2
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
4
1
W
02.05.26
Seg
Malaga
Eibar
4
2
W
19.04.26
Seg
Malaga
Almeria
2
3
L
04.04.26
Seg
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
01.04.26
Seg
Malaga
FC Andorra
3
3
D
21.03.26
Seg
Malaga
Cadiz
3
0
W
28.02.26
Seg
Malaga
Granada CF
1
0
W
16.02.26
Seg
Malaga
Real Sociedad II
1
2
L
02.02.26
Seg
Malaga
Mirandes
1
2
L
18.01.26
Seg
Malaga
Cordoba
1
0
W
04.01.26
Seg
Malaga
Sporting Gijon
3
1
W
14.12.25
Seg
Malaga
Albacete
3
1
W
03.12.25
Cop
Malaga
CF Talavera
1
2
L
29.11.25
Seg
Malaga
Valladolid
1
1
D
17.11.25
Seg
Malaga
Cultural Leonesa
0
1
L
02.11.25
Seg
Malaga
Castellón
1
2
L
H2H away: Malaga
16.09.17
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
0
L
29.10.16
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
4
2
L
23.04.16
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
0
L
22.11.14
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
3
1
L
11.05.14
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
1
1
D
07.10.12
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
1
L
05.05.12
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
1
L
07.05.11
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.04
Draw 5.38
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.09
Draw 2.58
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.33
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.60
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.39
Over 3.25 2.73
Over 3.5 3.04
Over 3.75 3.74
Under 1.5 3.76
Under 1.75 3.49
Under 2.0 3.07
Under 2.25 2.43
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.86
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.29
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.50
Draw 5.25
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 2.50
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.88
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.90
Draw 5.43
Home 1.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.60
Draw 2.44
Home 1.78
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.30
Draw 3.00
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.29
Over 2.0 1.36
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 2.75 2.06
Over 3.0 2.32
Over 3.25 2.58
Over 3.5 2.89
Over 3.75 3.46
Over 4.0 4.70
Over 4.25 5.02
Over 4.5 5.40
Over 4.75 8.00
Over 5.0 9.10
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 12.50
Under 0.75 10.30
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.25 5.48
Under 1.5 3.90
Under 1.75 3.48
Under 2.0 3.04
Under 2.25 2.48
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.00
Draw 5.10
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.50
Home 1.77
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.00
Home 1.61
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.0 1.36
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 2.75 2.00
Over 3.0 2.38
Over 3.25 2.70
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 3.75 3.45
Over 4.5 5.80
Over 5.5 12.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.0 3.10
Under 2.25 2.38
Under 2.5 2.02
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
4 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
5 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
6 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
7 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Atletico Madrid 3 missing
-
C. Romero
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
J. Alvarez
Missing Fixture Lacking Match Fitness
OUT
-
A. Sorloth
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Malaga 6 missing
-
F. Calero
Missing Fixture Ribs Injury
OUT
-
D. Murillo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Juanpe
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Ochoa
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
A. Nino
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Diarra
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT