Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Grau
21 matches
Comerciantes Unidos
23 matches
| Atletico Grau | Statistic | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 15 | Goals For | 28 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.05 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 11.55 | Total Shots | 13.14 |
| 4.1 | Corners | 3.62 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 46.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Comerciantes Unidos. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Atletico Grau have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Grau expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Comerciantes Unidos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Atletico Grau sit 16 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 12:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals), Rafael Guarderas (1 goals), Christian Neira (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Raúl Ruidíaz (1 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Comerciantes Unidos have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 21 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 18:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matías Sen (5 goals), Josuee Herrera (2 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Josuee Herrera (3 assists), Rodrigo Vilca (3 assists), Mathías Carpio (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 5 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
Atletico Grau
4
3
6
6
5
1
Lineups
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
ADT
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 39:13 | 26 | 51 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31:30 | 1 | 41 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32:22 | 10 | 39 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 28 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Away
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 26 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 12 |
Atletico Grau
Home
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:23 | -4 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 23 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 22 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:46 | -20 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24:35 | -11 | 15 |
L
D
L
D
L
|