BRAZIL SERIE B
24.05.2026 19:00
Estádio Antônio Accioly
Referee: P. Zanovelli
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
27'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
57'
Bruno Jose ↔ Assis
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
61'
Pedro Vitor ↔ Pablo Dyego
São Bernardo
🔄
61'
Hyoran ↔ Lucas Fernandes
São Bernardo
🔄
61'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Daniel Amorim
São Bernardo
🔄
66'
Echapora ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🔄
70'
O. J. Barreto Viera ↔ Guilherme
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
70'
Igor Henrique ↔ Leandro Vilela
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
70'
Marrony ↔ Adriano Martins
Atletico Goianiense
VAR
83'
Pablo Dyego
São Bernardo
84'
Pablo Dyego
São Bernardo
🔄
87'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Marcao Silva
São Bernardo
🟨
89'
Daniel Davi Simão Roque
São Bernardo
🟨
90+5'
Marcão Silva
São Bernardo

Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 31.9%
Draw 0%
São Bernardo Win 68.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense0.91
São Bernardo1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
15 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
6
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 9 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 9 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic São Bernardo
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
9 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
6 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.78
12.44 Total Shots 10.11
5.67 Corners 3.56
43.6% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around São Bernardo's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. São Bernardo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 17 points while Atletico Goianiense sit 11 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward São Bernardo. São Bernardo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

So far, Atletico Goianiense have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 12 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (3 goals), Leo Jaco (2 goals), Ewerthon (1 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

São Bernardo Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 17 points from 9 games, São Bernardo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 15:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Daniel Amorim (2 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Foguinho (2 goals), with creative support from Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echapora (2 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 0 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / São Bernardo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 0, draws 0, São Bernardo wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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