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Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 49.9%
Draw 3.3%
Novorizontino Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.1
Novorizontino1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
42 GF / 32 GA
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WLDWL
61 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.79
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
17
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
20
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 34 matches
Novorizontino Novorizontino 34 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Novorizontino
14 Wins 17
12 Draws 10
8 Losses 7
42 Goals For 61
32 Goals Against 30
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
17 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 20
5 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 8
4.5 Shots On Goal 5.47
15.59 Total Shots 15.5
6.41 Corners 6.09
50.1% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Novorizontino. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

From their first 34 matches, Atletico Goianiense have collected 54 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 42:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gustavo Coutinho (11 goals), Soares Geovany (4 goals), Marrony (4 goals), with creative support from Soares Geovany (7 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Guilherme Lopes (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Novorizontino Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 60 points from 33 games, Novorizontino bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 59:28, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Romulo (10 goals), Robson (10 goals), Matheus Bianqui (5 goals), with creative support from Romulo (8 assists), Robson (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 1 times, Novorizontino won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 1, draws 3, Novorizontino wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
Promotion
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