BRAZIL SERIE B
10.09.2026 00:30
Referee: G. Bauermann
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Guilherme Costa Marques · Assist: Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
12'
Geovany Soares · Assist: Warley Leandro da Silva
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
22'
João Pedro
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
25'
Giovanni Pavani ↔ Nicolás Ferreira
Ceara
🟨
38'
Bryan Borges Mascarenhas
Ceara
39'
Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira · Assist: Matheus Araujo
Ceara
🔄
45'
Gustavo Maia da Silva ↔ Henrique
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
45'
Guilherme Costa Marques ↔ Yuri
Atletico Goianiense
VAR
51'
José Domingos de Moraes Neto
Atletico Goianiense
🟥
52'
José Domingos de Moraes Neto
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
53'
Geovany Soares ↔ Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
61'
Vinícius
Ceara
🔄
62'
Bryan Borges Mascarenhas ↔ Wendel da Silva Costa
Ceara
🔄
62'
Matheus Araujo ↔ Lenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli
Ceara
🔄
67'
João Pedro ↔ Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
68'
Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos ↔ Klebert de Oliveira Pereira
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
73'
Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira ↔ Lucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares
Ceara
🔄
73'
Sávio António Alves ↔ Lucas Mugni
Ceara
🟨
89'
Luiz Otávio
Ceara

Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.6%
1.63
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.11
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 73.6%
Draw 4.9%
Ceara Win 21.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.2
Ceara1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
30 GF / 25 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
27 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
13
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
9
4.42
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 26 matches
Ceara Ceara 26 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Ceara
10 Wins 8
10 Draws 7
6 Losses 11
30 Goals For 27
25 Goals Against 33
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
13 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 10
4.42 Shots On Goal 4.15
14.35 Total Shots 13.31
5.85 Corners 5.77
49% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atletico Goianiense's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Atletico Goianiense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 39 points compared to Ceara in 17 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ceara.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

So far, Atletico Goianiense have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 39 points from 25 matches. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 28:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Marrony (3 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), with creative support from Geovany Soares (3 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara sit 17 with 28 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 25:32 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (4 goals), Lucas Lima (3 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Juan Alano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 6 times, Ceara won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 6, draws 5, Ceara wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
11 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13 28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15
Ceara Away
29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
Promotion
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