ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
25.07.2026 19:00
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Atletico DE Rafaela
Match Timeline
Nueva Chicago
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
55'
N. Cainelli
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
61'
M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
64'
M. Pardo ↔ F. Jourdan
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
64'
M. Moreno ↔ A. Rodriguez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
66'
A. Gonzalez
Nueva Chicago
68'
A. Solveyra
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
72'
L. Albertengo ↔ M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
73'
R. E. Zalazar ↔ D. Barros
Nueva Chicago
🟨
74'
M. Moreno
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
74'
E. Roldan ↔ L. Ambrogio
Nueva Chicago
🟨
76'
A. Obando
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
78'
M. Rogoski ↔ S. Cocimano
Nueva Chicago
🔄
86'
A. Obando ↔ E. Pepino
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
86'
J. Capurro ↔ A. Gonzalez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
89'
L. Ambrogio
Nueva Chicago

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.7%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 76.7%
Draw 16%
Nueva Chicago Win 7.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico DE Rafaela0.77
Nueva Chicago0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WWDLW
15 GF / 21 GA
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 22 matches
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 20 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Statistic Nueva Chicago
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
15 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 18
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
6 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nueva Chicago having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Nueva Chicago.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela are currently 8 in the standings with 27 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Nueva Chicago have collected 25 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Atletico DE Rafaela won 2 times, Nueva Chicago won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Atletico DE Rafaela's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1 / Nueva Chicago 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Atletico DE Rafaela wins 2, draws 3, Nueva Chicago wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation