ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Atletico DE Rafaela
Match Timeline
Nueva Chicago
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
55'
N. Cainelli
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
61'
M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
64'
M. Pardo ↔ F. Jourdan
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
64'
M. Moreno ↔ A. Rodriguez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
66'
A. Gonzalez
Nueva Chicago
68'
A. Solveyra
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
72'
L. Albertengo ↔ M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
73'
R. E. Zalazar ↔ D. Barros
Nueva Chicago
🟨
74'
M. Moreno
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
74'
E. Roldan ↔ L. Ambrogio
Nueva Chicago
🟨
76'
A. Obando
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
78'
M. Rogoski ↔ S. Cocimano
Nueva Chicago
🔄
86'
A. Obando ↔ E. Pepino
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
86'
J. Capurro ↔ A. Gonzalez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
89'
L. Ambrogio
Nueva Chicago

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.7%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 76.7%
Draw 16%
Nueva Chicago Win 7.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico DE Rafaela0.77
Nueva Chicago0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WWDLW
15 GF / 21 GA
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 22 matches
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 20 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Statistic Nueva Chicago
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
15 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 18
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
6 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nueva Chicago having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Nueva Chicago.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela are currently 8 in the standings with 27 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Nueva Chicago have collected 25 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Atletico DE Rafaela won 2 times, Nueva Chicago won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Atletico DE Rafaela's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.7%)
H2H summary: Atletico DE Rafaela wins 2, draws 3, Nueva Chicago wins 3

Lineups

Atletico DE Rafaela
Formation
Nueva Chicago
M. Bergia
M. Bergia
L. Flores
L. Flores
A. Solveyra
A. Solveyra
U. Yegros
U. Yegros
E. Wuattier
E. Wuattier
N. Cainelli
N. Cainelli
J. Capurro
J. Capurro
M. Pardo
M. Pardo
M. Moreno
M. Moreno
L. Albertengo
L. Albertengo
A. Obando
A. Obando
L. Jachfe
L. Jachfe
I. Antunes
I. Antunes
R. E. Zalazar
R. E. Zalazar
D. Gissi
D. Gissi
G. Paz
G. Paz
M. Rogoski
M. Rogoski
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
E. Roldan
E. Roldan
M. Perez
M. Perez
T. Ocampo
T. Ocampo
F. Castro
F. Castro
Atletico DE Rafaela 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Bergia
4
L. Flores
2
A. Solveyra
⚽ 68'
6
U. Yegros
3
E. Wuattier
8
N. Cainelli
🟥 55'
5
J. Capurro
↓ 86'
11
M. Pardo
↓ 64' 🟨 61'
7
M. Moreno
↓ 64' 🟨 74'
9
L. Albertengo
↓ 72'
10
A. Obando
↓ 86' 🟨 76'
Substitutes
12
R. Martinez
13
L. Moscoloni
14
N. Ramos
15
E. Pepino
↑ 86'
16
A. Gonzalez
↑ 86'
17
F. Jourdan
↑ 64'
18
I. Protti
19
A. Rodriguez
↑ 64'
20
M. Quiroga
↑ 72'
Nueva Chicago 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Jachfe
4
I. Antunes
2
R. E. Zalazar
↓ 73'
6
D. Gissi
3
G. Paz
10
M. Rogoski
↓ 78'
5
A. Gonzalez
🟨 66'
8
E. Roldan
↓ 74'
11
M. Perez
7
T. Ocampo
9
F. Castro
Substitutes
12
F. Masuero
13
E. Carrizo
14
G. Velozo
15
T. Rodriguez
16
G. Ferracutti
17
L. Ambrogio
↑ 74' 🟨 89'
18
S. Cocimano
↑ 78'
19
D. Barros
↑ 73'
20
N. Petrecca
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
01.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Temperley
0
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
04.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Almagro
0
1
L
23.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Colegiales
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Quilmes
0
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Midland
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atlanta
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Agropecuario
4
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
28.03.26
Cop
Atletico DE Rafaela
Belgrano Cordoba
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
Last matches: Nueva Chicago
01.08.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Agropecuario
1
1
D
11.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
23.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
17.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Temperley
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Almagro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Patronato
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Colegiales
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Quilmes
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Midland
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atlanta
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
All Boys
0
0
D
23.03.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Agropecuario
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
H2H: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago
25.07.26
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
23.06.26
H2H
Nueva Chicago
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
19.07.24
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
5
L
01.03.24
H2H
Nueva Chicago
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
L
24.04.22
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
1
D
29.09.18
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
1
L
28.10.17
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
07.06.15
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Colegiales
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Midland
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Agropecuario
4
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Temperley
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Almagro
0
0
D
H2H at home: Atletico DE Rafaela
25.07.26
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
19.07.24
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
5
L
24.04.22
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
1
D
29.09.18
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
1
L
28.10.17
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
07.06.15
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
Last matches: Nueva Chicago
11.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
17.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
4
L
17.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Patronato
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Quilmes
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atlanta
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Agropecuario
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Club Atlético Güemes
1
0
W
17.05.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Colegiales
1
0
W
11.05.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Temperley
0
2
L
30.04.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Barracas Central
0
0
D
26.04.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
19.04.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Almagro
2
0
W
22.03.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Acassuso
2
1
W
11.03.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Flandria
0
0
D
28.02.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Deportivo Moron
1
0
W
18.02.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
09.02.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atlanta
2
1
W
07.12.13
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Comunicaciones
2
1
W
H2H away: Nueva Chicago
25.07.26
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
0
L
19.07.24
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
5
W
24.04.22
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
1
D
29.09.18
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
1
W
28.10.17
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
07.06.15
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
2
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 5 5 35:25 10 41
L W D D W
2 22 10 9 3 21:12 9 39
W W W L D
3 23 9 10 4 24:20 4 37
L W W D W
4 22 11 3 8 28:22 6 36
L L W L L
5 22 9 7 6 23:16 7 34
D W W D D
6 23 9 5 9 31:24 7 32
W L D W W
7 22 8 7 7 22:22 0 31
W W D W D
8 23 8 7 8 17:19 -2 31
D W L L L
9 23 7 9 7 21:19 2 30
L L D W W
10 22 8 5 9 21:21 0 29
W W L L W
11 22 7 8 7 20:20 0 29
W L D L W
12 22 8 5 9 20:24 -4 29
D W L W W
13 21 7 6 8 22:22 0 27
D L W L W
14 22 7 5 10 18:23 -5 26
W L D W D
15 22 6 7 9 21:20 1 25
D L L W L
16 22 4 11 7 16:21 -5 23
D L D L D
17 23 5 8 10 18:28 -10 23
L W D D L
18 22 5 4 13 20:39 -19 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation