Atlas vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atlas Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlas1.17
Toluca1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlas
WWDLW
39 GF / 54 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
73 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
2.21
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
19
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlas
33 matches
Toluca
33 matches
| Atlas | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 19 |
| 12 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 6 |
| 39 | Goals For | 73 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.21 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlas won 3 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Atlas's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atlas 3-4-2-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atlas wins 3, draws 6, Toluca wins 6
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Atlas
Home
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs