ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Atlanta
Match Timeline
Almagro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
J. Marchioni · Assist: F. De La Vega
Almagro
15'
J. Vitale · Assist: J. Marchioni
Almagro
🔄
33'
D. Arguello ↔ R. Sosa
Atlanta
39'
J. Orlando · Assist: F. Bustamante
Almagro
🟨
41'
M. Garcia
Atlanta
🔄
46'
M. Garcia ↔ F. Alvarez
Atlanta
🔄
57'
C. Bernardi ↔ F. Castro
Atlanta
🟨
59'
I. Rodriguez
Atlanta
🔄
60'
J. Vitale ↔ B. Negro
Almagro
🔄
60'
F. De La Vega ↔ E. Martinez
Almagro
69'
R. Moreira · Assist: J. Puch
Atlanta
🔄
72'
J. Marchioni ↔ J. Fernandes
Almagro
🔄
72'
J. Orlando ↔ T. Dornell
Almagro
🔄
74'
C. Salto ↔ S. Chamorro
Almagro
🔄
83'
J. Puch ↔ F. Bisanz
Atlanta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlanta Win 79.2%
Draw 4.3%
Almagro Win 16.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta1.15
Almagro0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta Atlanta
WWDLW
25 GF / 17 GA
Almagro Almagro
WLDWL
16 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
8
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta Atlanta 21 matches
Almagro Almagro 20 matches
Atlanta Statistic Almagro
11 Wins 7
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 9
25 Goals For 16
17 Goals Against 22
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
8 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atlanta's more proactive style and Almagro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atlanta arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 36 points compared to Almagro in 12 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almagro having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Almagro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Atlanta Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 36 points from 20 games, Atlanta bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Almagro Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Almagro have collected 25 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, while the 16:22 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta won 6 times, Almagro won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Atlanta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Atlanta wins 6, draws 5, Almagro wins 4

Lineups

Atlanta
Formation
Almagro
F. Rago
F. Rago
M. Garcia
M. Garcia
R. Moreira
R. Moreira
T. Rojas
T. Rojas
D. Arguello
D. Arguello
T. Castro Ponce
T. Castro Ponce
N. Previtali
N. Previtali
C. Bernardi
C. Bernardi
J. Puch
🎯
J. Puch
I. Rodriguez
I. Rodriguez
A. Quintana
A. Quintana
E. Gonzalez
E. Gonzalez
G. Asis
G. Asis
M. Cortave
M. Cortave
J. Vitale
J. Vitale
E. Silcan
E. Silcan
C. Salto
C. Salto
J. Marchioni
🎯
J. Marchioni
F. Bustamante
🎯
F. Bustamante
T. Macies
T. Macies
J. Orlando
J. Orlando
F. De La Vega
🎯
F. De La Vega
Atlanta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Rago
4
M. Garcia
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
2
R. Moreira
⚽ 69'
6
T. Rojas
3
D. Arguello
↓ 33'
8
T. Castro Ponce
5
N. Previtali
10
C. Bernardi
↓ 57'
11
J. Puch
🎯 69' ↓ 83'
7
I. Rodriguez
🟨 59'
9
A. Quintana
Substitutes
12
L. Lopez Kaleniuk
13
P. Ostachuk
14
G. Mendoza
15
B. Rivero
16
R. Sosa
↑ 33'
17
F. Bisanz
↑ 83'
18
F. Alvarez
↑ 46'
19
A. Morales
20
F. Castro
↑ 57'
Almagro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Gonzalez
4
G. Asis
2
M. Cortave
6
J. Vitale
⚽ 15' ↓ 60'
3
E. Silcan
8
C. Salto
↓ 74'
5
J. Marchioni
⚽ 9' 🎯 15' ↓ 72'
10
F. Bustamante
🎯 39'
11
T. Macies
7
J. Orlando
⚽ 39' ↓ 72'
9
F. De La Vega
🎯 9' ↓ 60'
Substitutes
12
F. Mangudo
13
S. Chamorro
↑ 74'
14
B. Negro
↑ 60'
15
N. Tolosa
16
M. Laba
17
J. Fernandes
↑ 72'
18
J. Bustos
19
E. Martinez
↑ 60'
20
T. Dornell
↑ 72'
Last matches: Atlanta
26.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Patronato
0
2
L
22.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
15.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
3
L
09.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Maipu
2
4
L
14.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
1
0
W
04.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Midland
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
Last matches: Almagro
22.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
1
D
05.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
12.07.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
3
L
04.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
H2H: Atlanta vs Almagro
27.07.26
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
3
L
20.06.26
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
2
0
L
17.08.25
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
15.04.25
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
W
07.09.24
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
20.04.24
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
3
0
W
07.05.22
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
1
D
19.11.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
2
L
13.11.15
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
28.06.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
0
W
15.02.14
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
W
19.08.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
2
W
09.06.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
01.06.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
1
D
16.03.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
1
W
Last matches: Atlanta
09.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
08.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
17.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Maipu
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Patronato
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
0
W
19.05.19
Pri
Atlanta
Talleres Remedios
3
0
W
04.05.19
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
3
0
W
20.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
06.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
Sacachispas
0
0
D
03.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
UAI Urquiza
3
0
W
23.03.19
Pri
Atlanta
All Boys
1
0
W
14.03.19
Pri
Atlanta
Barracas Central
1
1
D
17.02.19
Pri
Atlanta
Acassuso
0
1
L
H2H at home: Atlanta
27.07.26
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
3
L
15.04.25
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
W
20.04.24
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
3
0
W
07.05.22
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
1
D
19.11.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
2
L
28.06.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
0
W
15.02.14
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
W
09.06.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
16.03.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
1
W
Last matches: Almagro
15.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
1
D
12.07.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
07.12.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
24.11.15
Pri
Almagro
CA Estudiantes
3
1
W
19.11.15
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
2
1
W
07.11.15
Pri
Almagro
Comunicaciones
2
0
W
17.10.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
10.10.15
Pri
Almagro
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
27.09.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
19.09.15
Pri
Almagro
Platense
1
0
W
H2H away: Almagro
27.07.26
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
3
W
15.04.25
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
L
20.04.24
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
3
0
L
07.05.22
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
1
D
19.11.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
2
W
28.06.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
0
L
15.02.14
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
L
09.06.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
W
16.03.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
1
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation