Athletic Club vs Osasuna Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
72%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.9%
|
- |
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
44 matches
Osasuna
35 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 21 | Losses | 12 |
| 49 | Goals For | 53 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.51 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.09 |
| 13.68 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 3.76 |
| 47.9% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Athletic Club have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Osasuna. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Athletic Club approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 38 points from 31 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 33:45, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Gorka Guruzeta (7 goals), R. Navarro (5 goals), N. Williams (4 goals), with creative support from I. Williams (4 assists), Yuri Berchiche (4 assists), Álex Berenguer (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with U. Egiluz, B. Prados Diaz, M. Sannadi unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
So far, Osasuna have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 39 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 37:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Budimir (16 goals), R. Garcia (5 goals), Victor Muñoz (5 goals), with creative support from R. Garcia (5 assists), J. Moncayola (4 assists), Victor Muñoz (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with I. Benito, A. Osambela, A. Catena unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 6 times, Osasuna won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Athletic Club's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Osasuna
Away
|
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|