Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
77%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | 1-1 |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
5 matches
Nautico Recife
5 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 3 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.6 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 13.4 |
| 3.2 | Corners | 6.6 |
| 39.6% | Ball Possession | 60.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Athletic Club's more proactive style and Nautico Recife's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. Nautico Recife arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Athletic Club have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 8 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Belezi (1 goals), Ian Luccas (1 goals), with creative support from Jota (1 assists), Ruan Assis (1 assists), Zeca (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Nautico Recife sit 17 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:6, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vinícius (2 goals), Igor Fernandes (1 goals), with creative support from Dodo (1 assists), Yuri (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 0 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Athletic Club's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Athletic Club
5
1
3
6
1
7
Lineups
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
Ceara
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
Avai
Athletic Club
Londrina
Athletic Club
Goias
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Juventude
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
CRB
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
Avai
Athletic Club
Goias
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Juventude
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21:12 | 9 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:19 | 6 | 27 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:32 | -3 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 24 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 20 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 19 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14:38 | -24 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13:31 | -18 | 8 |
L
D
D
L
L
|