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25.10.2026 13:00
San Mamés Stadium

Athletic Club vs Getafe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 80.4%
Draw 9.1%
Getafe Win 10.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.69
Getafe0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
34 GF / 15 GA
Getafe Getafe
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
5
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
6
4.29
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 17 matches
Getafe Getafe 18 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Getafe
8 Wins 5
4 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
34 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 22
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
5 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
4.29 Shots On Goal 3
14.71 Total Shots 11
6.14 Corners 4.17
54.1% Ball Possession 40.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Athletic Club's more proactive style and Getafe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Getafe. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 9 in the standings with 9 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Robert Navarro (2 goals), I. Williams (1 goals), Álex Berenguer (1 goals), with creative support from I. Williams (2 assists), Álex Berenguer (1 assists), Ruíz de Galarreta (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Getafe Analysis

Getafe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 8 points from 8 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 4:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Satriano (1 goals), Iván Azón (1 goals), Ramón Terrats (1 goals), with creative support from M. Satriano (1 assists), Iván Azón (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 3 times, Getafe won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Athletic Club's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-2-3-1 / Getafe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 3, draws 8, Getafe wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 9 3 2 4 13:10 3 11
L L D L L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 7 2 3 2 7:6 1 9
D D D W
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
14 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
15 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
16 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
17 8 1 4 3 12:16 -4 7
D D L L D
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 9 0 4 5 6:18 -12 4
L D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2