BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: W. do Nascimento
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Fortaleza EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Kauã Rocha
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Rodriguinho ↔ Mailton
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Kaua Rocha ↔ Luiz Fernando
Fortaleza EC
55'
Ian Luccas
Athletic Club
🔄
60'
Vitinho ↔ Lucas Crispim
Fortaleza EC
🔄
60'
Welliton ↔ T. Pochettino
Fortaleza EC
🔄
65'
D. Vera ↔ Jota
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
Max ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
72'
Rodrigo ↔ Lucca Prior
Fortaleza EC
🔄
81'
Ian Luccas ↔ Ruan Assis
Athletic Club
🔄
90'
G. Cabezas ↔ Alexandre Pena
Athletic Club
🔄
90'
Zeca ↔ Felipe Vieira
Athletic Club

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.9%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 37.8%
Draw 16.7%
Fortaleza EC Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.12
Fortaleza EC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
14 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
6
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 10 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 10 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Fortaleza EC
3 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
12 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 10
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.8
9.5 Total Shots 12.8
3.7 Corners 4
42.2% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fortaleza EC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fortaleza EC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Fortaleza EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 15 points while Athletic Club sit 14 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 10:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Belezi (1 goals), Bruninho (1 goals), with creative support from Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), Max (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. B. Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), Vitinho (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 1 times, Fortaleza EC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Athletic Club's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-3-3 / Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 1, draws 0, Fortaleza EC wins 0
Stats
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 7
17 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
348 Total passes 413
271 Passes accurate 344
0.82 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Athletic Club
Formation
Fortaleza EC
Luan Polli
Luan Polli
Zeca
Zeca
Jhonatan Silva
Jhonatan Silva
Belezi
Belezi
Diogo Batista
Diogo Batista
G. Cabezas
G. Cabezas
Joao Miguel
Joao Miguel
Marcelo Henrique
Marcelo Henrique
Ian Luccas
Ian Luccas
Max
Max
D. Vera
D. Vera
Joao Ricardo
Joao Ricardo
E. Britez
E. Britez
Luan Freitas
Luan Freitas
Kaua Rocha
Kaua Rocha
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Lucas Sasha
Lucas Sasha
Rodrigo
Rodrigo
G. Fuentes
G. Fuentes
Welliton
Welliton
Vitinho
Vitinho
J. B. Miritello
J. B. Miritello
Athletic Club 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
Luan Polli
G
6
Zeca
↓ 90'
D
3
Jhonatan Silva
D
4
Belezi
D
22
Diogo Batista
M
8
G. Cabezas
↓ 90'
M
16
Joao Miguel
M
14
Marcelo Henrique
M
5
Ian Luccas
⚽ 55' ↓ 81'
F
11
Max
↓ 65'
F
21
D. Vera
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
12
Jhonatan Luiz
G
10
Gustavinho
M
2
Douglas Pele
D
15
Jota
↑ 65'
9
Samuel Otusanya
F
7
Bruninho
↑ 65'
F
17
Alexandre Pena
↑ 90'
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
23
Ruan Assis
↑ 81'
F
20
Gabriel Moyses
13
Felipe Vieira
↑ 90'
19
Kauan Lindes
M
Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Joao Ricardo
G
2
E. Britez
D
4
Luan Freitas
D
33
Kaua Rocha
↓ 46' 🟨 7'
D
75
Rodriguinho
↓ 46'
M
88
Lucas Sasha
M
29
Rodrigo
↓ 72'
M
18
G. Fuentes
M
31
Welliton
↓ 60'
F
11
Vitinho
↓ 60'
F
9
J. B. Miritello
F
Substitutes
25
Vinicius Silvestre
G
10
Lucas Crispim
↑ 60'
M
7
T. Pochettino
↑ 60'
M
22
Mailton
↑ 46'
D
13
Mauricio Junior
D
8
Ronald
M
37
Ryan
M
38
Lucca Prior
↑ 72'
M
99
Kayke
F
32
Luiz Fernando
↑ 46'
F
77
Paulo Baya
F
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
Last matches: Athletic Club
09.08.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
2
0
W
28.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
09.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H: Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC
30.05.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
Last matches: Athletic Club
09.08.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
2
0
W
23.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
2
1
W
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H at home: Athletic Club
30.05.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
09.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H away: Fortaleza EC
30.05.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 9 5 7 22:26 -4 32
W L D W D
8 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
9 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
10 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
11 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
12 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 21 5 5 11 27:32 -5 20
L L L D D
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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