13.09.2026 18:30

Atenas vs Cerrito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atenas Win 69.7%
Draw 6.2%
Cerrito Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atenas1.35
Cerrito1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atenas Atenas
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Cerrito Cerrito
WLDWL
30 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
13
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atenas Atenas 23 matches
Cerrito Cerrito 23 matches
Atenas Statistic Cerrito
11 Wins 8
3 Draws 9
9 Losses 6
33 Goals For 30
29 Goals Against 28
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
13 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cerrito. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cerrito carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 9 points while Atenas sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cerrito having the stronger overall control. Atenas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Atenas Analysis

Atenas sit 12 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:11, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cerrito Analysis

Cerrito sit 8 with 9 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D