ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
New Balance Arena
Referee: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
Atalanta
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
41'
O. Kossounou · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Atalanta
52'
A. Lookman
Atalanta
🟨
59'
Marin Pongračić
Fiorentina
🔄
64'
Dodo ↔ N. Fortini
Fiorentina
🔄
64'
N. Fagioli ↔ A. Gudmundsson
Fiorentina
🔄
67'
Ederson ↔ M. Pasalic
Atalanta
🔄
67'
D. Zappacosta ↔ N. Zalewski
Atalanta
🟨
69'
Pablo Marí
Fiorentina
🟨
71'
Rolando Mandragora
Fiorentina
🔄
75'
P. Mari ↔ P. Comuzzo
Fiorentina
🔄
77'
A. Lookman ↔ K. Sulemana
Atalanta
🔄
77'
G. Scamacca ↔ N. Krstovic
Atalanta
🔄
79'
S. Sohm ↔ C. Ndour
Fiorentina
🔄
80'
R. Piccoli ↔ A. Richardson
Fiorentina
🟨
84'
Isak Hien
Atalanta
🔄
86'
I. Hien ↔ S. Kolasinac
Atalanta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.24
Fiorentina1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
20 GF / 19 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
9
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
11
4
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 17 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 18 matches
Atalanta Statistic Fiorentina
5 Wins 4
8 Draws 6
4 Losses 8
20 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 24
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 3.33
14.82 Total Shots 12.28
5.47 Corners 4.78
54.2% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 6 times, Fiorentina won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Atalanta's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atalanta 3-4-2-1 / Fiorentina 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 6, draws 2, Fiorentina wins 7
Stats
Atalanta Atalanta
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 5
15 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 8
6 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 13
7 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 7
431 Total passes 466
365 Passes accurate 387
1.60 expected_goals 1.58
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atalanta
Formation
Fiorentina
M. Carnesecchi
M. Carnesecchi
O. Kossounou
O. Kossounou
I. Hien
I. Hien
B. Djimsiti
B. Djimsiti
R. Bellanova
R. Bellanova
Ederson
Ederson
M. De Roon
M. De Roon
D. Zappacosta
D. Zappacosta
C. De Ketelaere
🎯
C. De Ketelaere
A. Lookman
A. Lookman
G. Scamacca
G. Scamacca
D. de Gea
D. de Gea
M. Pongracic
M. Pongracic
P. Mari
P. Mari
L. Ranieri
L. Ranieri
N. Fagioli
N. Fagioli
Dodo
Dodo
R. Mandragora
R. Mandragora
S. Sohm
S. Sohm
F. Parisi
F. Parisi
M. Kean
M. Kean
R. Piccoli
R. Piccoli
Atalanta 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
3
O. Kossounou
⚽ 41'
D
4
I. Hien
↓ 86' 🟨 84'
D
19
B. Djimsiti
D
16
R. Bellanova
M
13
Ederson
↓ 67'
M
15
M. De Roon
M
77
D. Zappacosta
↓ 67'
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
🎯 41'
F
11
A. Lookman
⚽ 52' ↓ 77'
F
9
G. Scamacca
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
31
F. Rossi
G
57
M. Sportiello
G
23
S. Kolasinac
↑ 86'
D
69
H. Ahanor
D
6
Y. Musah
M
8
M. Pasalic
↑ 67'
M
10
L. Samardzic
M
44
M. Brescianini
M
47
L. Bernasconi
D
59
N. Zalewski
↑ 67'
M
70
D. Maldini
F
7
K. Sulemana
↑ 77'
F
90
N. Krstovic
↑ 77'
F
Fiorentina 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
43
D. de Gea
G
5
M. Pongracic
🟨 59'
D
18
P. Mari
↓ 75' 🟨 69'
D
6
L. Ranieri
D
44
N. Fagioli
↓ 64'
M
2
Dodo
↓ 64'
M
8
R. Mandragora
🟨 71'
M
7
S. Sohm
↓ 79'
M
65
F. Parisi
M
20
M. Kean
F
91
R. Piccoli
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Lezzerini
G
30
T. Martinelli
G
15
P. Comuzzo
↑ 75'
D
26
M. Viti
D
29
N. Fortini
↑ 64'
D
60
E. Kouadio
D
14
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
M
24
A. Richardson
↑ 80'
M
27
C. Ndour
↑ 79'
M
9
E. Dzeko
F
10
A. Gudmundsson
↑ 64'
F
99
C. Kouame
F
Last matches: Atalanta
14.08.26
Fri
Atalanta
Athletic Club
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Atalanta
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Atalanta
Feyenoord
1
2
L
26.07.26
Fri
Atalanta
Arezzo
3
2
W
22.05.26
Ser
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Atalanta
Bologna
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Atalanta
AC Milan
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Atalanta
Genoa
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
Cagliari
2
3
L
22.04.26
Cop
Atalanta
Lazio
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
AS Roma
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
Juventus
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
Lecce
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Atalanta
Bayern München
1
4
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Inter
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Atalanta
Bayern München
1
6
L
07.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Udinese
2
2
D
04.03.26
Cop
Atalanta
Lazio
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Sassuolo
1
2
L
Last matches: Fiorentina
14.08.26
Cop
Fiorentina
Benevento
4
1
W
06.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
H2H: Atalanta vs Fiorentina
22.05.26
H2H
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
30.11.25
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
3
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
3
L
24.04.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
4
1
W
03.04.24
H2H
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
0
L
17.09.23
H2H
Fiorentina
Atalanta
3
2
L
17.04.23
H2H
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
02.10.22
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
0
W
20.02.22
H2H
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
0
L
10.02.22
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
3
L
11.09.21
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
2
L
11.04.21
H2H
Fiorentina
Atalanta
2
3
W
13.12.20
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
3
0
W
Last matches: Atalanta
14.08.26
Fri
Atalanta
Athletic Club
1
0
W
26.07.26
Fri
Atalanta
Arezzo
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atalanta
Bologna
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Atalanta
Genoa
0
0
D
22.04.26
Cop
Atalanta
Lazio
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
Juventus
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atalanta
Bayern München
1
6
L
07.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Udinese
2
2
D
25.02.26
UEF
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
4
1
W
22.02.26
Ser
Atalanta
Napoli
2
1
W
09.02.26
Ser
Atalanta
Cremonese
2
1
W
05.02.26
Cop
Atalanta
Juventus
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
Atalanta
Parma
4
0
W
21.01.26
UEF
Atalanta
Athletic Club
2
3
L
10.01.26
Ser
Atalanta
Torino
2
0
W
03.01.26
Ser
Atalanta
AS Roma
1
0
W
28.12.25
Ser
Atalanta
Inter
0
1
L
13.12.25
Ser
Atalanta
Cagliari
2
1
W
09.12.25
UEF
Atalanta
Chelsea
2
1
W
H2H at home: Atalanta
30.11.25
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
0
W
15.09.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
3
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
3
L
24.04.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
4
1
W
02.10.22
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
0
W
10.02.22
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
3
L
11.09.21
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
2
L
13.12.20
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
3
0
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
09.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
2
2
D
H2H away: Fiorentina
30.11.25
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
3
2
L
02.06.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
3
W
24.04.24
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
4
1
L
02.10.22
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
0
L
10.02.22
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
3
W
11.09.21
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
2
W
13.12.20
H2H
Atalanta
Fiorentina
3
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B