ITALY SERIE A
12.09.2026 18:45
New Balance Arena
Referee: A. Arena
Atalanta
Match Timeline
Cagliari
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
P. Mendy · Assist: M. Adopo
Cagliari
41'
G. Scamacca · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Atalanta
🔄
57'
J. Fazzini ↔ A. Fadera
Cagliari
61'
D. Maldini
Cagliari
🔄
68'
S. Kolasinac ↔ L. Bernasconi
Atalanta
🔄
68'
G. Scamacca ↔ N. Krstovic
Atalanta
🔄
68'
J. Pedro ↔ Y. Sugawara
Cagliari
🔄
77'
L. Samardzic ↔ G. Raspadori
Atalanta
🔄
79'
D. Maldini ↔ R. Kofler
Cagliari
🔄
79'
P. Mendy ↔ Kevin
Cagliari
🔄
86'
F. Kessie ↔ M. Pasalic
Atalanta

Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
1.72
BTTS No
65.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.96
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.1%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 59.5%
Draw 3.9%
Cagliari Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.09
Cagliari0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
13 GF / 7 GA
Cagliari Cagliari
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
4
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
4
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 9 matches
Cagliari Cagliari 9 matches
Atalanta Statistic Cagliari
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
13 Goals For 7
7 Goals Against 5
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.56
4 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 2
5 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 4.2
9.8 Total Shots 14.6
3 Corners 5.2
48.6% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 10 times, Cagliari won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Atalanta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Atalanta 4-3-3 / Cagliari 4-4-1-1
Missing players: Atalanta 3, Cagliari 4
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 10, draws 1, Cagliari wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 12:1 11 12
W W W W
2 4 4 0 0 13:6 7 12
W W W W
3 4 3 1 0 9:4 5 10
W W W D
4 4 3 1 0 6:3 3 10
D W W W
5 4 3 0 1 4:2 2 9
W W L W
6 4 2 2 0 7:4 3 8
D D W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
D W W L
8 4 2 1 1 6:4 2 7
L D W W
9 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
W D W L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W L L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
L L W W
12 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
W L L W
13 4 1 1 2 8:10 -2 4
L L W D
14 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
16 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L D L L
17 4 0 1 3 2:6 -4 1
L D L L
18 4 0 1 3 6:11 -5 1
L D L L
19 4 0 1 3 2:8 -6 1
D L L L
20 4 0 0 4 4:11 -7 0
L L L L
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