SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
AS Camberene Win 20.9%
Draw 24.7%
Jaraaf Win 54.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Camberene0.55
Jaraaf0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Camberene AS Camberene
WWDLW
16 GF / 32 GA
Jaraaf Jaraaf
WLDWL
19 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
0.66
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
12
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Camberene AS Camberene 29 matches
Jaraaf Jaraaf 29 matches
AS Camberene Statistic Jaraaf
3 Wins 8
15 Draws 14
11 Losses 7
16 Goals For 19
32 Goals Against 16
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.66
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
12 BTTS Yes 7
16 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 15
16 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Jaraaf's more proactive style and AS Camberene's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Jaraaf. Jaraaf carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 38 points while AS Camberene sit 16 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Jaraaf having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

AS Camberene Analysis

AS Camberene sit 16 with 24 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 15 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 16:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jaraaf Analysis

So far, Jaraaf have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 38 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 14 draws, and 7 losses, while the 19:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, AS Camberene won 0 times, Jaraaf won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from AS Camberene's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79.1%)
H2H summary: AS Camberene wins 0, draws 1, Jaraaf wins 1
Last matches: AS Camberene
22.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Teungueth
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
30.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Wally Daan
1
2
L
25.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
AJEL
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Ouakam
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
HLM
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
DSC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Casa Sport
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
1
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
1
2
L
13.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
3
L
Last matches: Jaraaf
22.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
3
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Gorée
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
29.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
08.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
1
1
D
H2H: AS Camberene vs Jaraaf
04.06.26
H2H
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
0
2
L
15.02.26
H2H
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
1
1
D
Last matches: AS Camberene
17.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Teungueth
0
1
L
30.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Wally Daan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Ouakam
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Casa Sport
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
1
2
L
28.12.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Guédiawaye
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Stade de Mbour
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
AJEL
1
1
D
16.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
HLM
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
DSC
0
0
D
H2H at home: AS Camberene
04.06.26
H2H
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
0
2
L
Last matches: Jaraaf
13.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Gorée
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
28.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
23.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
1
L
H2H away: Jaraaf
04.06.26
H2H
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
0
2
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation