SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
80.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AS Camberene Win 19%
Draw 4.3%
Gorée Win 76.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Camberene0.45
Gorée1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Camberene AS Camberene
WWDLW
12 GF / 26 GA
Gorée Gorée
WLDWL
25 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
9
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Camberene AS Camberene 24 matches
Gorée Gorée 24 matches
AS Camberene Statistic Gorée
2 Wins 10
12 Draws 11
10 Losses 3
12 Goals For 25
26 Goals Against 9
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
9 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 16
14 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Gorée's more proactive style and AS Camberene's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gorée. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gorée having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gorée carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 41 points while AS Camberene sit 16 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

AS Camberene Analysis

With 18 points from 24 games and a place of 16, AS Camberene still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 12:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gorée Analysis

Placed 3 with 41 points from 24 outings, Gorée continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 25:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, AS Camberene won 0 times, Gorée won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from AS Camberene's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: AS Camberene wins 0, draws 1, Gorée wins 1
Last matches: AS Camberene
04.06.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
0
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Teungueth
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
30.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Wally Daan
1
2
L
25.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
AJEL
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Ouakam
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
HLM
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
DSC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Casa Sport
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
1
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
1
2
L
13.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
3
L
Last matches: Gorée
04.06.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
22.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
2
1
W
13.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
1
0
W
30.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
2
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Gorée
DSC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
5
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
3
0
W
H2H: AS Camberene vs Gorée
03.05.26
H2H
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
0
D
07.01.26
H2H
Gorée
AS Camberene
3
0
L
Last matches: AS Camberene
04.06.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Jaraaf
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Sonacos
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
AS Camberene
La Linguère
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Teungueth
0
1
L
30.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Wally Daan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Ouakam
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Casa Sport
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Pikine
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
AS Camberene
Génération Foot
1
2
L
28.12.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Guédiawaye
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
AS Camberene
Stade de Mbour
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
AJEL
1
1
D
16.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
HLM
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
AS Camberene
DSC
0
0
D
H2H at home: AS Camberene
03.05.26
H2H
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
0
D
Last matches: Gorée
22.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
5
0
W
21.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
2
0
W
16.11.25
Lig
Gorée
DSC
4
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
0
D
H2H away: Gorée
03.05.26
H2H
AS Camberene
Gorée
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation