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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Arsenal
FT
1 - 0
Newcastle
Emirates Stadium
Referee: S. Barrott
Arsenal
Match Timeline
Newcastle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
E. Eze · Assist: K. Havertz
Arsenal
🔄
34'
K. Havertz ↔ V. Gyökeres
Arsenal
🔄
53'
E. Eze ↔ G. Martinelli
Arsenal
🟨
57'
Dan Burn
Newcastle
🔄
66'
W. Osula ↔ Y. Wissa
Newcastle
🔄
66'
J. Murphy ↔ H. Barnes
Newcastle
🟨
71'
Gabriel Martinelli
Arsenal
🟨
74'
Nick Pope
Newcastle
🔄
75'
Bruno Guimaraes ↔ N. Woltemade
Newcastle
🔄
81'
N. Madueke ↔ B. Saka
Arsenal
🔄
81'
M. Zubimendi ↔ M. Lewis-Skelly
Arsenal
🟨
86'
Declan Rice
Arsenal
🔄
86'
J. Willock ↔ A. Elanga
Newcastle

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 77.2%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.84
Newcastle1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
101 GF / 35 GA
Newcastle Newcastle
WLDWL
81 GF / 73 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
24
BTTS Yes
33
28
Over 2.5
34
5.43
Shots on Goal
5.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 49 matches
Newcastle Newcastle 48 matches
Arsenal Statistic Newcastle
34 Wins 19
9 Draws 10
6 Losses 19
101 Goals For 81
35 Goals Against 73
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
24 BTTS Yes 33
39 Over 1.5 40
28 Over 2.5 34
15 Over 3.5 19
24 Clean Sheets 12
4 Failed To Score 7
5.43 Shots On Goal 5.1
15.04 Total Shots 13.4
6.02 Corners 6.06
56.3% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 9 times, Newcastle won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Arsenal's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-3-3 / Newcastle 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Arsenal 2, Newcastle 5
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 9, draws 1, Newcastle wins 5
Stats
Arsenal Arsenal
Newcastle Newcastle
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
400 Total passes 486
323 Passes accurate 415
0.49 expected_goals 1.00
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Arsenal
Formation
Newcastle
D. Raya
D. Raya
B. White
B. White
W. Saliba
W. Saliba
Gabriel
Gabriel
P. Hincapie
P. Hincapie
M. Odegaard
M. Odegaard
M. Zubimendi
↓
M. Zubimendi
D. Rice
D. Rice
N. Madueke
↓
N. Madueke
K. Havertz
🎯 ↓
K. Havertz
E. Eze
⚽ ↓
E. Eze
N. Pope
N. Pope
L. Miley
L. Miley
M. Thiaw
M. Thiaw
S. Botman
S. Botman
D. Burn
D. Burn
S. Tonali
S. Tonali
J. Murphy
↓
J. Murphy
J. Willock
↓
J. Willock
Bruno Guimaraes
↓
Bruno Guimaraes
J. Ramsey
J. Ramsey
W. Osula
↓
W. Osula
Arsenal 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
D. Raya
G
4
B. White
D
2
W. Saliba
D
6
Gabriel
D
5
P. Hincapie
D
8
M. Odegaard
M
36
M. Zubimendi
↓ 81'
M
41
D. Rice
🟨 86'
M
20
N. Madueke
↓ 81'
F
29
K. Havertz
🎯 9' ↓ 34'
F
10
E. Eze
⚽ 9' ↓ 53'
F
Substitutes
13
K. Arrizabalaga
G
9
Gabriel Jesus
F
14
V. Gyökeres
↑ 34'
F
11
G. Martinelli
↑ 53' 🟨 71'
F
7
B. Saka
↑ 81'
F
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
↑ 81'
D
3
C. Mosquera
D
56
M. Dowman
M
19
L. Trossard
F
Newcastle 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
N. Pope
🟨 74'
G
67
L. Miley
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
4
S. Botman
D
33
D. Burn
🟨 57'
D
8
S. Tonali
M
23
J. Murphy
↓ 66'
M
28
J. Willock
↓ 86'
M
39
Bruno Guimaraes
↓ 75'
M
41
J. Ramsey
M
18
W. Osula
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
32
A. Ramsdale
G
2
K. Trippier
D
9
Y. Wissa
↑ 66'
F
27
N. Woltemade
↑ 75'
F
3
L. Hall
D
11
H. Barnes
↑ 66'
M
20
A. Elanga
↑ 86'
F
37
A. Murphy
D
62
S. Neave
F
Last matches: Arsenal
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brighton
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
Last matches: Newcastle
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brentford
2
3
L
H2H: Arsenal vs Newcastle
25.04.26
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
28.09.25
H2H
Newcastle
Arsenal
1
2
W
27.07.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
3
2
W
18.05.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
05.02.25
H2H
Newcastle
Arsenal
2
0
L
07.01.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
0
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Newcastle
Arsenal
1
0
L
24.02.24
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
4
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Newcastle
Arsenal
1
0
L
07.05.23
H2H
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
2
W
03.01.23
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
0
0
D
16.05.22
H2H
Newcastle
Arsenal
2
0
L
27.11.21
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
2
0
W
02.05.21
H2H
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
2
W
18.01.21
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
3
0
W
Last matches: Arsenal
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Arsenal
Wigan
4
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Sunderland
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Arsenal
Kairat Almaty
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester United
2
3
L
08.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Liverpool
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Aston Villa
4
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Brighton
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
1
W
03.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Brentford
2
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Arsenal
Bayern München
3
1
W
23.11.25
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
26.10.25
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
1
0
W
H2H at home: Arsenal
25.04.26
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
27.07.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
3
2
W
18.05.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
07.01.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
0
2
L
24.02.24
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
4
1
W
03.01.23
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
0
0
D
27.11.21
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
2
0
W
18.01.21
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
3
0
W
Last matches: Newcastle
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Liverpool
1
4
L
28.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Wolves
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
3
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
0
1
L
14.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
0
1
L
10.12.25
UEF
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
29.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
4
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Newcastle
Marseille
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Brentford
1
3
L
02.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
1
3
L
H2H away: Newcastle
25.04.26
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
3
2
L
18.05.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
L
07.01.25
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
0
2
W
24.02.24
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
4
1
L
03.01.23
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
0
0
D
27.11.21
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
2
0
L
18.01.21
H2H
Arsenal
Newcastle
3
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal Home
38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa
38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton
38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle Away
38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley
38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Missing Players

Arsenal 2 missing
-
M. Merino
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
J. Timber
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Newcastle 5 missing
-
E. Krafth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Schar
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
V. Livramento
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Joelinton
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
A. Gordon
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT