Arsenal
Match Timeline
Newcastle
Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76.2%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 77.2%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.84
Newcastle1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal
WWDLW
101 GF / 35 GA
Newcastle
WLDWL
81 GF / 73 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
24
BTTS Yes
33
28
Over 2.5
34
5.43
Shots on Goal
5.1
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arsenal
49 matches
Newcastle
48 matches
| Arsenal | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Wins | 19 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 6 | Losses | 19 |
| 101 | Goals For | 81 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 73 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 33 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 34 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 19 |
| 24 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.43 | Shots On Goal | 5.1 |
| 15.04 | Total Shots | 13.4 |
| 6.02 | Corners | 6.06 |
| 56.3% | Ball Possession | 51.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 9 times, Newcastle won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Arsenal's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-3-3 / Newcastle 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Arsenal 2, Newcastle 5
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 9, draws 1, Newcastle wins 5
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
Home
|
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
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