SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
06.09.2026 12:30
Midgardsvallen
Arlanda
Match Timeline
Umeå FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
S. Wagnsson
Umeå FC
🟨
53'
M. Njie
Umeå FC
🔄
62'
A. Charbachi ↔ A. Hansen
Arlanda
🔄
62'
A. Saeed ↔ M. Butros
Arlanda
72'
Z. Bawa
Umeå FC
🔄
74'
M. Njie ↔ H. Hassan
Umeå FC
🔄
74'
N. Linden ↔ I. Johansson
Umeå FC
74'
S. Rydz · Assist: Y. Yemane
Arlanda
🟨
81'
Z. Bawa
Umeå FC
🟥
88'
M. Gorgos
Arlanda
🟨
88'
Umeå FC
Umeå FC
🟨
89'
A. Hansen
Arlanda
🔄
90'
R. Hadad ↔ E. Hrastovina
Umeå FC
🔄
90'
S. Forsman ↔ T. Lindgren
Umeå FC

Arlanda vs Umeå FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86%
Odds 1.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86%
1.86
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.55
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.41
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Arlanda Win 86%
Draw 4.3%
Umeå FC Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arlanda1.73
Umeå FC1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arlanda Arlanda
WWDLW
51 GF / 39 GA
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WLDWL
44 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
18
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arlanda Arlanda 27 matches
Umeå FC Umeå FC 30 matches
Arlanda Statistic Umeå FC
12 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
6 Losses 14
51 Goals For 44
39 Goals Against 45
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
18 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Arlanda's more proactive style and Umeå FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Umeå FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Umeå FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Umeå FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Arlanda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 36 points compared to Umeå FC in 13 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Arlanda Analysis

Placed 4 with 36 points from 19 outings, Arlanda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 33:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 17 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 21:30 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda won 1 times, Umeå FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Arlanda's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Arlanda wins 1, draws 0, Umeå FC wins 0

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 3 4 53:19 34 48
W W W W W
2 22 13 4 5 41:29 12 43
W W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
9 22 8 4 10 29:36 -7 28
L W L D L
10 22 8 3 11 28:41 -13 27
L W L D W
11 22 7 5 10 28:37 -9 26
W L W W D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 22 5 3 14 29:47 -18 18
W L L L L
15 22 3 6 13 24:43 -19 15
L L W L D
16 22 3 5 14 43:55 -12 14
L W L L L