SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
21.09.2026 17:00
Midgardsvallen

Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.3%
1.18
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.64
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.77
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Arlanda Win 40.8%
Draw 13.7%
Hammarby Talang Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arlanda1.48
Hammarby Talang1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arlanda Arlanda
WWDLW
54 GF / 42 GA
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang
WLDWL
54 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
2
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
19
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arlanda Arlanda 30 matches
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 27 matches
Arlanda Statistic Hammarby Talang
13 Wins 13
9 Draws 8
8 Losses 6
54 Goals For 54
42 Goals Against 27
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
19 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 15
14 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hammarby Talang. Arlanda have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hammarby Talang having the stronger overall control.

Arlanda Analysis

Arlanda approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 36 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 34:25 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Hammarby Talang Analysis

Hammarby Talang come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 41 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 46:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda won 1 times, Hammarby Talang won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Arlanda's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: Arlanda wins 1, draws 0, Hammarby Talang wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L