Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aris
39 matches
AEK Larnaca
51 matches
| Aris | Statistic | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 25 |
| 10 | Draws | 14 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 66 | Goals For | 76 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.49 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 1.58 |
| 5.39 | Total Shots | 4.44 |
| 1.97 | Corners | 1.79 |
| 18.3% | Ball Possession | 21.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AEK Larnaca. Aris have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
With 51 points from 35 games and a place of 6, Aris still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 58:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Effaghe (9 goals), J. Montnor (8 goals), Andronikos Kakoullis (7 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
AEK Larnaca arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 66 points after 35 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 58:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Hrvoje Miličević (12 goals), Riad Bajić (11 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aris won 4 times, AEK Larnaca won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Aris's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Lineups
Aris
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Pafos
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Pafos
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Enosis
Aris
Pafos
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
Aris
Akritas
Aris
Anorthosis
Aris
AEL
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Enosis
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Krasava Ypsonas
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Pafos
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Pafos
Aris
Anorthosis
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
Aris
Enosis
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
Aris
Akritas
Aris
AEL
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
Aris
Olympiakos
Aris
Apollon Limassol
Aris
AEK Athens FC
Aris
Puskas Academy
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
AEL
AEK Larnaca
BK Hacken
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Enosis
AEK Larnaca
Krasava Ypsonas
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | 46 | 61 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AEK Larnaca
Away
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | 18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Aris
Home
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | 22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|