CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Alphamega Stadium
Referee: A. Harkam
Apollon Limassol
Match Timeline
Apoel Nicosia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
G. Rodrigues
Apollon Limassol
🔄
12'
G. Assuncao ↔ A. Vrikkis
Apollon Limassol
🟨
26'
Dálcio
Apoel Nicosia
🔄
46'
D. Mancini ↔ M. Tomas
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
50'
Diego Rosa
Apoel Nicosia
🔄
61'
P. Olayinka ↔ Gabriel Maioli
Apoel Nicosia
🔄
61'
Diego Rosa ↔ N. Koutsakos
Apoel Nicosia
62'
I. Ljubic
Apollon Limassol
🔄
69'
Z. Adoni ↔ T. Lam
Apollon Limassol
🔄
69'
I. Ljubic ↔ G. Weissbeck
Apollon Limassol
🔄
79'
G. Malekkidis ↔ A. Shikkis
Apollon Limassol
🔄
79'
↔ A. Youssef
Apollon Limassol
🔄
84'
P. Kattirtzis ↔ C. Appiah
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
87'
Brandon Thomas
Apollon Limassol
🟨
90+4'
Mathías Tomás
Apoel Nicosia
🟥
90+5'
Gabriel Maioli
Apoel Nicosia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Apollon Limassol Win 62.4%
Draw 4.6%
Apoel Nicosia Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Apollon Limassol1.28
Apoel Nicosia1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
WWDLW
45 GF / 34 GA
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
WLDWL
53 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
15
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
17
1.33
Shots on Goal
3.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 33 matches
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 33 matches
Apollon Limassol Statistic Apoel Nicosia
18 Wins 15
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 11
45 Goals For 53
34 Goals Against 38
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
15 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 7
1.33 Shots On Goal 3.1
4.47 Total Shots 8.3
1.87 Corners 3.8
21.1% Ball Possession 36.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Apoel Nicosia. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Apollon Limassol expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Apoel Nicosia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Apoel Nicosia having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Apollon Limassol Analysis

Placed 3 with 61 points from 32 outings, Apollon Limassol continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 45:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Brandon Thomas (9 goals), P. Marques (8 goals), J. Kvida (6 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Apoel Nicosia Analysis

Apoel Nicosia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 53:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Drazic (11 goals), Nikolas Koutsakos (7 goals), P. Sotiriou (7 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Apollon Limassol won 7 times, Apoel Nicosia won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Apollon Limassol's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Apollon Limassol 4-3-3 / Apoel Nicosia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Apollon Limassol wins 7, draws 7, Apoel Nicosia wins 1
Stats
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 6
6 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 1
4 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
445 Total passes 319
389 Passes accurate 273
1.38 expected_goals 0.10
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Apollon Limassol
Formation
Apoel Nicosia
P. Kuhn
P. Kuhn
B. Gaspar
B. Gaspar
Z. Adoni
Z. Adoni
J. Kvida
J. Kvida
G. Malekkidis
G. Malekkidis
M. Brown
M. Brown
I. Ljubic
I. Ljubic
G. Rodrigues
G. Rodrigues
G. Assuncao
G. Assuncao
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
D. Escriche
D. Escriche
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira
C. Poursaitidis
C. Poursaitidis
E. Antoniou
E. Antoniou
M. Degenek
M. Degenek
Nanu
Nanu
Dalcio
Dalcio
Diego Rosa
Diego Rosa
D. Mancini
D. Mancini
P. Kattirtzis
P. Kattirtzis
P. Olayinka
P. Olayinka
S. Drazic
S. Drazic
Apollon Limassol 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
P. Kuhn
G
76
B. Gaspar
D
4
Z. Adoni
↓ 69'
D
44
J. Kvida
D
14
G. Malekkidis
↓ 79'
D
5
M. Brown
M
77
I. Ljubic
⚽ 62' ↓ 69'
M
10
G. Rodrigues
⚽ 4'
M
12
G. Assuncao
↓ 12'
M
23
B. Thomas
🟨 87'
M
30
D. Escriche
F
Substitutes
31
K. Stylianou
G
41
P. Leeuwenburgh
G
3
T. Lam
↑ 69'
D
26
A. Shikkis
↑ 79'
D
27
G. Weissbeck
↑ 69'
M
45
A. Vrikkis
↑ 12'
M
80
A. Youssef
↑ 79'
M
86
P. Charalambous
F
89
R. Rotis
F
91
I. Polyviou
M
Apoel Nicosia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Gabriel Pereira
G
21
C. Poursaitidis
D
2
E. Antoniou
D
5
M. Degenek
D
14
Nanu
D
20
Dalcio
🟨 26'
M
29
Diego Rosa
↓ 61' 🟨 50'
M
77
D. Mancini
↓ 46'
M
23
P. Kattirtzis
↓ 84'
M
99
P. Olayinka
↓ 61'
M
9
S. Drazic
F
Substitutes
78
S. Michos
G
91
S. Voniatis
G
11
Gabriel Maioli
↑ 61' 🟥 90+5'
M
15
M. Tomas
↑ 46' 🟨 90+4'
M
36
C. Appiah
↑ 84'
M
89
N. Koutsakos
↑ 61'
M
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
23.07.26
UEF
Apollon Limassol
Dila
4
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
GO Ahead Eagles
3
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
Utrecht
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
5
L
16.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
W
06.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
03.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
3
L
14.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
W
05.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
1
W
02.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
21.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
14.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
3
1
W
30.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
Last matches: Apoel Nicosia
22.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
2
L
16.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
06.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
0
1
L
03.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
3
3
D
18.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
14.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
2
3
L
05.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
22.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
15.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
08.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
0
2
L
28.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEL
3
2
W
22.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
15.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
2
3
L
08.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
04.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
2
L
31.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Olympiakos
2
0
W
23.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
1
1
D
18.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
10.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Akritas
2
1
W
H2H: Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia
10.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
29.04.26
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
22.04.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
4
2
W
14.04.26
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
2
3
W
18.01.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
2
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
0
0
D
29.03.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
0
0
D
02.01.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
2
D
17.09.23
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
21.05.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
W
10.04.23
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
0
2
W
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
16.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
16.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
W
03.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
3
L
05.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
1
W
21.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
3
1
W
24.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Akritas
4
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
04.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
14.12.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
2
L
07.12.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
0
0
D
23.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
0
W
02.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
18.10.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
21.09.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Enosis
3
0
W
29.08.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
H2H at home: Apollon Limassol
10.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
22.04.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
4
2
W
18.01.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
26.04.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
0
0
D
02.01.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
2
D
21.05.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
W
Last matches: Apoel Nicosia
22.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
2
L
06.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
0
1
L
18.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
15.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
28.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEL
3
2
W
15.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
2
3
L
04.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
2
L
31.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Olympiakos
2
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
29.11.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
1
1
D
09.11.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
27.10.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
03.10.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
4
0
W
20.09.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Akritas
4
0
W
14.09.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Enosis
2
0
W
24.08.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Krasava Ypsonas
2
1
W
H2H away: Apoel Nicosia
10.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
L
22.04.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
4
2
L
18.01.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
0
0
D
02.01.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
2
D
21.05.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
L

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)