Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
80.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Apoel Nicosia
31 matches
AEK Larnaca
47 matches
| Apoel Nicosia | Statistic | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 24 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 52 | Goals For | 72 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.04 | Shots On Goal | 1.48 |
| 8.11 | Total Shots | 4.25 |
| 3.61 | Corners | 1.64 |
| 35.6% | Ball Possession | 19.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AEK Larnaca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Apoel Nicosia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Apoel Nicosia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 49 points from 31 matches. Their record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 52:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Drazic (11 goals), Nikolas Koutsakos (7 goals), P. Sotiriou (7 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
AEK Larnaca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 61 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 54:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Hrvoje Miličević (10 goals), Riad Bajić (9 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Apoel Nicosia won 4 times, AEK Larnaca won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Apoel Nicosia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Apoel Nicosia
4
4
1
4
4
1
Lineups
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Apoel Nicosia
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Olympiakos
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
PAOK
AEK Larnaca
Helmond Sport
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
Apoel Nicosia
Akritas
Apoel Nicosia
Enosis
Apoel Nicosia
Krasava Ypsonas
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
Apoel Nicosia
Olympiakos
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
PAOK
AEK Larnaca
Helmond Sport
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
AEL
AEK Larnaca
BK Hacken
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | 46 | 61 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AEK Larnaca
Away
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Apoel Nicosia
Home
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | 18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | 22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|