BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
21.05.2026 18:30
Lotto Park
Referee: N. Laforge
Anderlecht
Match Timeline
St. Truiden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Arbnor Muja
St. Truiden
🔄
14'
I. Camara ↔ K. Sardella
Anderlecht
20'
D. Sikan · Assist: T. Degreef
Anderlecht
45'
D. Sikan
Anderlecht
🔄
46'
A. Muja ↔ K. Matsuzawa
St. Truiden
🔄
58'
S. Shinkawa ↔ O. Diouf
St. Truiden
🔄
64'
D. Sikan ↔ T. Hazard
Anderlecht
🔄
64'
C. S. Huerta Valera ↔ E. Llansana
Anderlecht
🔄
72'
R. Merlen ↔ W. Janssens
St. Truiden
🔄
72'
I. Sebaoui ↔ K. Goto
St. Truiden
77'
A. Sissako · Assist: K. Matsuzawa
St. Truiden
🔄
83'
N. De Cat ↔ L. Augustinsson
Anderlecht
🔄
83'
Y. Verschaeren ↔ A. Bertaccini
Anderlecht
🟨
85'
Killian Sardella
Anderlecht
🔄
87'
R. Vanwesemael ↔ S. Jukleroed
St. Truiden
🟨
90+1'
Enric Llansana
Anderlecht
🟨
90+8'
Simen Juklerød
St. Truiden
90'
A. Bertaccini · Assist: A. Maamar
Anderlecht

Anderlecht vs St. Truiden Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 15.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
15.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
33.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Anderlecht Win 34.2%
Draw 21.4%
St. Truiden Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anderlecht1.3
St. Truiden1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WWDLW
62 GF / 62 GA
St. Truiden St. Truiden
WLDWL
57 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
24
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
20
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anderlecht Anderlecht 44 matches
St. Truiden St. Truiden 38 matches
Anderlecht Statistic St. Truiden
16 Wins 21
12 Draws 5
16 Losses 12
62 Goals For 57
62 Goals Against 43
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
24 BTTS Yes 21
33 Over 1.5 30
21 Over 2.5 20
16 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 9
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.42
13.68 Total Shots 13.87
5.39 Corners 5.55
50% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Anderlecht have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St. Truiden. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Anderlecht Analysis

Anderlecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 44 points from 30 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 43:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Hazard (13 goals), M. Cvetkovic (9 goals), N. Angulo (6 goals), with creative support from T. Hazard (7 assists), N. Angulo (5 assists), N. De Cat (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

St. Truiden Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 57 points from 30 games, St. Truiden bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a 47:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Goto (11 goals), R. Ito (10 goals), A. Bertaccini (6 goals), with creative support from K. Goto (7 assists), Ilias Sebaoui (5 assists), Rihito Yamamoto (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Anderlecht won 10 times, St. Truiden won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:12 from Anderlecht's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: Anderlecht 4-2-3-1 / St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Anderlecht wins 10, draws 3, St. Truiden wins 2

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs