BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Lotto Park
Referee: J. Boterberg
Anderlecht
Match Timeline
KV Mechelen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
M. van Brederode
KV Mechelen
17'
N. Saliba · Assist: D. Sikan
Anderlecht
🟨
38'
Redouane Halhal
KV Mechelen
🟨
42'
Dikeni Salifou
KV Mechelen
🔄
46'
N. Miras ↔ O. De Wolf
KV Mechelen
60'
T. Koudou · Assist: M. van Brederode
KV Mechelen
🔄
61'
C. S. Huerta Valera ↔ A. Bertaccini
Anderlecht
🔄
69'
D. Salifou ↔ M. Konate
KV Mechelen
🔄
72'
D. Sikan ↔ T. Hazard
Anderlecht
🔄
72'
M. Diarra ↔ K. Sardella
Anderlecht
🔄
73'
E. Llansana ↔ M. Kana
Anderlecht
🔄
79'
K. Mrabti ↔ B. Antonio
KV Mechelen
🔄
83'
N. Saliba ↔ A. Maamar
Anderlecht
🔄
85'
B. Boersma ↔ B. Raman
KV Mechelen
🔄
85'
T. Koudou ↔ M. Decoene
KV Mechelen
🟨
87'
Massimo Decoene
KV Mechelen
🟨
90'
Mory Konate
KV Mechelen
90'
I. Camara · Assist: A. Maamar
Anderlecht

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Anderlecht Win 85.3%
Draw 14.7%
KV Mechelen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anderlecht1.42
KV Mechelen1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WWDLW
60 GF / 60 GA
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
WLDWL
44 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
23
BTTS Yes
23
20
Over 2.5
16
4.63
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anderlecht Anderlecht 43 matches
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 matches
Anderlecht Statistic KV Mechelen
16 Wins 13
11 Draws 10
16 Losses 14
60 Goals For 44
60 Goals Against 54
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
23 BTTS Yes 23
32 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 16
15 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 6
4.63 Shots On Goal 3.57
13.7 Total Shots 9.78
5.47 Corners 4.65
49.8% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KV Mechelen. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Anderlecht expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and KV Mechelen in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KV Mechelen having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Anderlecht Analysis

With 44 points from 30 games and a place of 6, Anderlecht still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 43:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Hazard (13 goals), M. Cvetkovic (9 goals), N. Angulo (6 goals), with creative support from T. Hazard (7 assists), N. Angulo (5 assists), N. De Cat (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

KV Mechelen Analysis

With 45 points from 30 games and a place of 5, KV Mechelen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 39:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. van Brederode (7 goals), L. Lauberbach (6 goals), K. Mrabti (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pflucke (8 assists), Rob Schoofs (5 assists), M. van Brederode (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Anderlecht won 8 times, KV Mechelen won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:21 from Anderlecht's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Anderlecht 4-2-3-1 / KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Anderlecht wins 8, draws 4, KV Mechelen wins 3

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs