COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.34
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.34
BTTS No
56%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.98
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.9%
1.53
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 3-0
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
America de Cali Win 88%
Draw 6%
Chico Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali1.41
Chico0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
America de Cali America de Cali
WWDLW
32 GF / 23 GA
Chico Chico
WLDWL
15 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
10
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
9
4.32
Shots on Goal
3.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America de Cali America de Cali 26 matches
Chico Chico 19 matches
America de Cali Statistic Chico
13 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
8 Losses 12
32 Goals For 15
23 Goals Against 32
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
10 BTTS Yes 4
18 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 11
4.32 Shots On Goal 3.16
13.32 Total Shots 10.16
3.45 Corners 3.68
55% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by America de Cali's more proactive style and Chico's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chico. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. America de Cali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 34 points compared to Chico in 18 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Chico arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America de Cali expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chico in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chico having the stronger overall control.

America de Cali Analysis

So far, America de Cali have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 34 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Chico Analysis

Chico sit 18 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 10 times, Chico won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:9 from America de Cali's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: America de Cali 4-2-3-1 / Chico 4-4-2
H2H summary: America de Cali wins 10, draws 2, Chico wins 1
Last matches: America de Cali
26.07.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
0
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Millonarios
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Cucuta
0
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Llaneros
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Águilas Doradas
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
3
0
W
23.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Jaguares
3
0
W
19.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
1
2
L
Last matches: Chico
02.05.26
Pri
Chico
Llaneros
3
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Chico
Internacional de Bogota
0
4
L
22.04.26
Pri
Chico
Independiente Medellin
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Chico
Bucaramanga
0
5
L
02.04.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Chico
Cucuta
0
1
L
23.03.26
Pri
Chico
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Chico
Millonarios
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Chico
Once Caldas
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Chico
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Chico
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pri
Chico
Jaguares
5
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Chico
Junior
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Chico
Santa Fe
0
1
L
28.01.26
Pri
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pri
Chico
America de Cali
0
1
L
17.01.26
Pri
Chico
Atletico Nacional
0
4
L
13.11.25
Pri
Chico
Millonarios
1
2
L
H2H: America de Cali vs Chico
25.01.26
H2H
Chico
America de Cali
0
1
W
06.11.25
H2H
Chico
America de Cali
0
2
W
28.03.25
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Chico
America de Cali
0
2
W
24.03.24
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
5
0
W
17.06.23
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
2
W
21.05.23
H2H
Chico
America de Cali
1
1
D
20.04.23
H2H
Chico
America de Cali
1
1
D
13.02.21
H2H
Chico
America de Cali
1
2
W
03.02.20
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
1
0
W
07.10.18
H2H
Chico
America de Cali
2
1
L
07.04.18
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
0
W
Last matches: America de Cali
10.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Millonarios
3
1
W
02.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Llaneros
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Jaguares
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
3
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
08.12.25
Pri
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
3
2
W
27.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
24.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Union Magdalena
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
2
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
3
2
W
28.09.25
Pri
America de Cali
Envigado
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
2
1
W
16.09.25
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
H2H at home: America de Cali
28.03.25
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
0
W
24.03.24
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
5
0
W
17.06.23
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
2
W
03.02.20
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
1
0
W
07.04.18
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
0
W
Last matches: Chico
27.04.26
Pri
Chico
Internacional de Bogota
0
4
L
22.04.26
Pri
Chico
Independiente Medellin
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Chico
Bucaramanga
0
5
L
28.03.26
Pri
Chico
Cucuta
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Chico
Once Caldas
0
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Chico
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Chico
Junior
0
3
L
28.01.26
Pri
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
Chico
Atletico Nacional
0
4
L
09.11.25
Pri
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Chico
Envigado
2
0
W
14.10.25
Pri
Chico
Fortaleza FC
0
1
L
26.09.25
Pri
Chico
Once Caldas
2
5
L
15.09.25
Pri
Chico
Deportes Tolima
0
4
L
05.09.25
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Chico
Águilas Doradas
0
2
L
02.08.25
Pri
Chico
Junior
0
2
L
23.07.25
Pri
Chico
Llaneros
1
2
L
12.07.25
Pri
Chico
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
H2H away: Chico
28.03.25
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
0
L
24.03.24
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
5
0
L
17.06.23
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
2
L
03.02.20
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
1
0
L
07.04.18
H2H
America de Cali
Chico
3
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.46
Draw 4.54
Home 1.34
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.76
Over 3.5 3.42
Under 1.5 3.30
Under 1.75 2.81
Under 2.0 2.55
Under 2.25 2.06
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 2.75 1.62
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.5 1.29
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.00
Draw 4.33
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 2.30
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.62
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 4.50
Home 1.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.35
Draw 2.24
Home 1.87
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.70
Draw 2.69
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.96
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.94
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 3.98
Over 4.0 5.40
Over 4.25 5.74
Over 4.5 6.05
Over 5.0 10.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 8.20
Under 0.75 7.70
Under 1.0 7.10
Under 1.25 4.14
Under 1.5 3.08
Under 1.75 2.79
Under 2.0 2.41
Under 2.25 2.04
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.40
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 4.50
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.28
Home 1.86
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 2.70
Home 1.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.49
Over 2.25 1.73
Over 2.5 1.96
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.75
Over 3.25 3.10
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 3.75 4.10
Over 4.0 5.60
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.10
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.96
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.55
Under 3.0 1.37
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W L D W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L L D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W D L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W L D L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W L D L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D W L L W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D D D L L
18
Chico Away
19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W L D
Post season qualification