ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Tres de Febrero
Almagro
Match Timeline
Colegiales
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
38'
E. Trinidad ↔ M. Mamani
Colegiales
🔄
46'
C. Salto ↔ J. Fernandes
Almagro
🔄
46'
T. Macies ↔ T. Dornell
Almagro
🟨
48'
L. Ortiz
Colegiales
🟨
53'
T. Dornell
Almagro
🔄
60'
F. Montiel ↔ L. Gonzalez
Colegiales
🔄
60'
M. Albertengo ↔ N. Toloza
Colegiales
🟨
71'
J. Fernandes
Almagro
🔄
73'
F. Bustamante ↔ J. Bustos
Almagro
🔄
73'
G. Asis ↔ E. Martinez
Almagro
🔄
73'
J. Orlando ↔ F. De La Vega
Almagro
🔄
74'
F. Zicarelli ↔ M. Ramirez
Colegiales
🔄
74'
L. Castillo ↔ L. Juarez
Colegiales

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds 2.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 3.21
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
2.70
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
3.21
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Almagro Win 60.9%
Draw 13%
Colegiales Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almagro0.92
Colegiales1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almagro Almagro
WWDLW
21 GF / 29 GA
Colegiales Colegiales
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
9
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almagro Almagro 25 matches
Colegiales Colegiales 24 matches
Almagro Statistic Colegiales
8 Wins 8
6 Draws 6
11 Losses 10
21 Goals For 23
29 Goals Against 25
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
9 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colegiales. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colegiales having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Almagro Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Almagro have collected 30 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 21:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colegiales Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Colegiales have collected 30 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 23:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Almagro won 3 times, Colegiales won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Almagro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Almagro wins 3, draws 5, Colegiales wins 4

Lineups

Almagro
Formation
Colegiales
E. Gonzalez
E. Gonzalez
M. Cortave
M. Cortave
N. Tolosa
N. Tolosa
J. Flores
J. Flores
B. Negro
B. Negro
J. Marchioni
J. Marchioni
G. Asis
G. Asis
F. Bustamante
F. Bustamante
T. Macies
T. Macies
J. Orlando
J. Orlando
C. Salto
C. Salto
E. Di Fulvio
E. Di Fulvio
E. Ocampo
E. Ocampo
L. Ortiz
L. Ortiz
F. Rivero
F. Rivero
F. Hanashiro
F. Hanashiro
F. Marin
F. Marin
F. Zicarelli
F. Zicarelli
F. Montiel
F. Montiel
E. Trinidad
E. Trinidad
L. Castillo
L. Castillo
M. Albertengo
M. Albertengo
Almagro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Gonzalez
2
M. Cortave
3
N. Tolosa
4
J. Flores
6
B. Negro
5
J. Marchioni
8
G. Asis
↓ 73'
10
F. Bustamante
↓ 73'
11
T. Macies
↓ 46'
7
J. Orlando
↓ 73'
9
C. Salto
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
F. Mangudo
14
P. Blanco
13
F. Marco
17
J. Bustos
↑ 73'
16
J. Fernandes
↑ 46' 🟨 71'
15
M. Laba
19
T. Dornell
↑ 46' 🟨 53'
18
E. Martinez
↑ 73'
20
F. De La Vega
↑ 73'
Colegiales 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Di Fulvio
4
E. Ocampo
6
L. Ortiz
🟨 48'
2
F. Rivero
3
F. Hanashiro
5
F. Marin
8
F. Zicarelli
↓ 74'
7
F. Montiel
↓ 60'
11
E. Trinidad
↓ 38'
10
L. Castillo
↓ 74'
9
M. Albertengo
↓ 60'
Substitutes
12
A. Alcorcel
13
E. Insua
15
A. Acevedo
14
M. Ramirez
↑ 74'
16
L. Gonzalez
↑ 60'
17
L. Juarez
↑ 74'
18
M. Mamani
↑ 38'
19
T. Perri
20
N. Toloza
↑ 60'
Last matches: Almagro
15.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
1
D
05.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
3
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
3
L
04.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
Last matches: Colegiales
15.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
Patronato
2
2
D
01.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
3
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Agropecuario
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Club Atlético Güemes
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Temperley
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Almagro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Patronato
0
2
L
H2H: Almagro vs Colegiales
22.08.26
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
04.04.26
H2H
Colegiales
Almagro
1
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
Colegiales
Almagro
2
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
08.07.15
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
1
0
W
22.02.15
H2H
Colegiales
Almagro
3
2
L
04.03.14
H2H
Colegiales
Almagro
2
0
L
27.08.13
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
1
0
W
10.02.13
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
25.08.12
H2H
Colegiales
Almagro
2
2
D
15.04.12
H2H
Colegiales
Almagro
1
4
W
05.11.11
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
Last matches: Almagro
05.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
28.11.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
4
0
W
13.11.15
Pri
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
31.10.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Español
3
2
W
04.10.15
Pri
Almagro
Fénix
0
1
L
22.09.15
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
1
0
W
15.09.15
Pri
Almagro
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
29.08.15
Pri
Almagro
Barracas Central
0
1
L
17.08.15
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
H2H at home: Almagro
22.08.26
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
08.07.15
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
1
0
W
27.08.13
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
1
0
W
10.02.13
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
05.11.11
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
Last matches: Colegiales
15.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Patronato
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Midland
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
09.11.24
Pri
Colegiales
Los Andes
0
0
D
26.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Argentino de Merlo
1
2
L
13.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Comunicaciones
2
1
W
30.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Argentino Quilmes
0
2
L
15.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Midland
1
2
L
02.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Canuelas
2
0
W
18.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Merlo
2
3
L
06.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Excursionistas
1
0
W
H2H away: Colegiales
22.08.26
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
08.07.15
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
1
0
L
27.08.13
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
1
0
L
10.02.13
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
05.11.11
H2H
Almagro
Colegiales
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.98
Draw 2.78
Home 2.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.05
Draw 1.80
Home 3.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.25 1.47
Over 1.5 1.70
Over 1.75 1.94
Over 2.0 2.40
Over 2.25 2.82
Over 2.5 3.21
Under 0.5 5.14
Under 1.25 2.62
Under 1.5 2.12
Under 1.75 1.85
Under 2.0 1.55
Under 2.25 1.41
Under 2.5 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.62
Home 2.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 1.80
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.00
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.67
Over 2.5 3.40
Over 3.5 7.00
Over 4.5 17.00
Over 5.5 41.00
Under 0.5 4.75
Under 1.5 2.10
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.89
Draw 2.70
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.16
Draw 1.73
Home 3.48
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 1.99
Home 3.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 0.75 1.13
Over 1.0 1.18
Over 1.25 1.45
Over 1.5 1.67
Over 1.75 1.88
Over 2.0 2.26
Over 2.25 2.62
Over 2.5 2.97
Over 2.75 3.80
Over 3.0 5.50
Over 3.25 5.95
Over 3.5 6.40
Over 3.75 9.50
Over 4.0 10.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Under 0.5 5.10
Under 0.75 4.50
Under 1.0 3.84
Under 1.25 2.54
Under 1.5 2.07
Under 1.75 1.82
Under 2.0 1.51
Under 2.25 1.38
Under 2.5 1.30
Under 2.75 1.19
Under 3.0 1.08
Under 3.25 1.07
Under 3.5 1.05
Under 3.75 1.01
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.75
Home 2.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 1.89
Home 3.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.10
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.58
Over 2.0 2.10
Over 2.5 2.80
Over 3.5 5.40
Under 0.5 5.10
Under 1.5 2.18
Under 2.0 1.62
Under 2.5 1.36
Under 3.5 1.10

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation