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13.09.2026 01:20
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Referee: Steven Camargo, Colombia
Alianza Valledupar
Match Timeline
Junior
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
E. W. Meza Mercado
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
18'
E. W. Meza Mercado ↔ W. Fernandez
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
26'
Israel Alba
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
45'
Felipe Pardo
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
46'
J. Rivas ↔ H. Rivera
Junior
🔄
46'
G. Paiva ↔ F. Fydriszewski
Junior
🟨
47'
Juan David Ríos
Junior
🟨
50'
Francisco Fydriszewski
Junior
🟨
57'
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
63'
J. Sarmiento ↔ T. Gutierrez
Junior
🔄
63'
C. Barrios ↔ D. Caicedo
Junior
VAR
70'
Jhildrey Lasso
Alianza Valledupar
🟥
71'
Jhildrey Lasso
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
73'
J. Munoz ↔ J. E. Perez Balcazar
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
73'
F. Pardo ↔ C. Villegas
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
79'
E. Herrera ↔ J. D. Munive
Junior
🟨
80'
Daniel Rivera
Junior
🟨
80'
José Munive
Junior
🔄
81'
D. Quinones ↔ K. Moreno
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
81'
C. Vergara ↔ M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
90+6'
Misael Martínez
Alianza Valledupar
VAR
90+3'
Daniel Rivera
Junior

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 82.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
82.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Alianza Valledupar Win 17.9%
Draw 30.9%
Junior Win 51.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar0.97
Junior1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
L L L D L
3 GF / 12 GA
Junior Junior
D D L D L
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
13
BTTS Yes
20
10
Over 2.5
18
2.77
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 27 matches
Junior Junior 37 matches
Alianza Valledupar Statistic Junior
3 Wins 14
11 Draws 9
13 Losses 14
19 Goals For 51
43 Goals Against 51
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
13 BTTS Yes 20
18 Over 1.5 30
10 Over 2.5 18
5 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 9
2.77 Shots On Goal 4.14
10.96 Total Shots 12.95
4.12 Corners 4.76
45.3% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Junior's more proactive style and Alianza Valledupar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Junior. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Valledupar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Junior in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Junior having the stronger overall control. Junior carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 35 points while Alianza Valledupar sit 17 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

Alianza Valledupar sit 17 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats with a 13:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Pardo (3 goals), J. Muñoz (3 goals), Yeiner Londoño (2 goals), with creative support from J. Lasso (3 assists), F. Pardo (2 assists), P. Franco (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Junior Analysis

Junior sit 2 with 35 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 31:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Luis Muriel (14 goals), Teófilo Gutiérrez (5 goals), Cristian Barrios (5 goals), with creative support from Guillermo Paiva (5 assists), Teófilo Gutiérrez (3 assists), Yeison Suárez (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 0 times, Junior won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:26 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1 / Junior 4-4-2
H2H summary: Alianza Valledupar wins 0, draws 5, Junior wins 10

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D W D D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L W L L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D D W W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L L D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W D D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D W D D D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L L L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L W D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W L L D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D L D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L W W D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L D W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L W W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
W D W D D
Post season qualification