Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.8%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.28 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Valledupar
21 matches
Deportes Tolima
34 matches
| Alianza Valledupar | Statistic | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 15 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 15 | Goals For | 43 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 2.75 | Shots On Goal | 4.44 |
| 10.95 | Total Shots | 12.15 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 4.56 |
| 46.1% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportes Tolima's more proactive style and Alianza Valledupar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportes Tolima. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Deportes Tolima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 37 points while Alianza Valledupar sit 17 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Alianza Valledupar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 17 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats with a 13:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportes Tolima come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 37 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 31:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 1 times, Deportes Tolima won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:31 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
Junior
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Cali
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
Chico
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
Union Magdalena
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Chico
Deportes Tolima
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
Deportes Tolima
Junior
Deportes Tolima
Junior
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Away
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Alianza Valledupar
Home
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
W
L
D
|