Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.2%
|
- |
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Lima
13 matches
Cusco
12 matches
| Alianza Lima | Statistic | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 6 |
| 17 | Goals For | 14 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.45 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.45 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 58.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Alianza Lima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 23 points compared to Cusco in 7 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cusco. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Lima expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cusco in 3-2-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cusco having the stronger overall control.
Operating from 2 place with 23 points from 10 games, Alianza Lima bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Garces (4 goals), E. Castillo (3 goals), Paolo Guerrero (3 goals), with creative support from E. Castillo (2 assists), A. Cantero (2 assists), J. Velez (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Cusco have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 12:10 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Facundo Callejo (6 goals), G. Carabajal (2 goals), Iván Colman (1 goals), with creative support from J. Manzaneda (2 assists), M. Ruidias (2 assists), J. Bolivar (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima won 4 times, Cusco won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Alianza Lima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Alianza Lima
13
0
12
4
4
2
Lineups
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
Cusco
ADT
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Sport Boys
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
Cienciano
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
Cusco
ADT
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
Sport Boys
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Always Ready
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Home
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Cusco
Away
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|