Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax1.79
Excelsior2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
32 GF / 16 GA
Excelsior
WLDWL
23 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
3.29
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
10
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
6
8.17
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
15 matches
Excelsior
7 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 32 | Goals For | 23 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.29 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 8.17 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 24.17 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 10 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 67.2% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 10 times, Excelsior won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 44:16 from Ajax's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ajax wins 10, draws 4, Excelsior wins 1
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
H2H: Ajax vs Excelsior
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
L
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
W
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
W
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
W
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
W
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
W
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
W
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
W
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
W
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ajax
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
L
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
W
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
W
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
W
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
W
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
22.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
1
W
01.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
2
1
W
H2H away: Excelsior
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
W
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
L
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
L
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
L
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
L
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Excelsior
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie