Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax1.9
Excelsior2.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
46 GF / 24 GA
Excelsior
WLDWL
28 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.42
Average Goals Scored
3.11
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
13
BTTS Yes
6
14
Over 2.5
8
9
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
19 matches
Excelsior
9 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 0 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 46 | Goals For | 28 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.11 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 22.89 | Total Shots | 12.75 |
| 8.44 | Corners | 5.25 |
| 64.2% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 10 times, Excelsior won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 44:16 from Ajax's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ajax wins 10, draws 4, Excelsior wins 1
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Excelsior
Away
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 |
Ajax
Home
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:15 | -9 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | -12 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie