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--.--.---- --:--
Ajax
FT
1 - 0
AEK Larnaca
Stichting Sportpark de Eendracht
Referee: R. Hensgens
Ajax
Match Timeline
AEK Larnaca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
29'
R. Bajic ↔ W. Rubio
AEK Larnaca
🟨
39'
S. Berghuis
Ajax
🔄
46'
J. Mokio ↔ P. Nash
Ajax
🔄
46'
S. Berghuis ↔ D. Klaassen
Ajax
🔄
46'
L. Rosa ↔ A. Gaaei
Ajax
🔄
59'
O. Wijndal ↔ Caio Henrique
Ajax
🔄
60'
Y. Regeer ↔ A. Ouazane
Ajax
🔄
60'
M. Paes ↔ P. Reverson
Ajax
🔄
60'
O. Gloukh ↔ J. Johnson
Ajax
🔄
60'
D. Konadu ↔ M. Abdalla
Ajax
🔄
63'
D. Ivanovic ↔ E. Saborit
AEK Larnaca
🔄
63'
A. Layouni ↔ Ledes Gustavo
AEK Larnaca
🔄
63'
Miramon ↔ J. Izquierdo
AEK Larnaca
🔄
63'
C. Kyriakou ↔ K. Pileas
AEK Larnaca
🔄
63'
H. Milicevic ↔ P. Ioannou
AEK Larnaca
🔄
63'
Y. Gurfinkel ↔ M. van der Hoorn
AEK Larnaca
🔄
63'
Z. Adoni ↔ S. Anastasiou
AEK Larnaca
🔄
70'
M. Godts ↔ O. Edvardsen
Ajax
🔄
79'
J. Repas ↔ M. Hadjichambi
AEK Larnaca
🔄
79'
A. Paraskevas ↔ V. Muftic
AEK Larnaca
🟨
82'
P. Ioannou
AEK Larnaca
⚽
84'
A. Ouazane · Assist: O. Edvardsen
Ajax

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 36%
Draw 21.1%
AEK Larnaca Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax1.85
AEK Larnaca1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax Ajax
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax Ajax 4 matches
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 2 matches
Ajax Statistic AEK Larnaca
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
7 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 4
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 1 times, AEK Larnaca won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ajax's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / AEK Larnaca 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 1, draws 0, AEK Larnaca wins 0

Lineups

Ajax
Formation
AEK Larnaca
M. Paes
↓
M. Paes
L. Rosa
↓
L. Rosa
A. Bouwman
A. Bouwman
Y. Baas
Y. Baas
O. Wijndal
↓
O. Wijndal
Y. Regeer
↓
Y. Regeer
J. Mokio
↓
J. Mokio
S. Berghuis
↓
S. Berghuis
O. Gloukh
↓
O. Gloukh
M. Godts
↓
M. Godts
D. Konadu
↓
D. Konadu
A. Paraskevas
↓
A. Paraskevas
Miramon
↓
Miramon
Z. Adoni
↓
Z. Adoni
H. Milicevic
↓
H. Milicevic
Y. Gurfinkel
↓
Y. Gurfinkel
I. Pankov
I. Pankov
A. Layouni
↓
A. Layouni
C. Kyriakou
↓
C. Kyriakou
J. Repas
↓
J. Repas
D. Ivanovic
↓
D. Ivanovic
R. Bajic
↓
R. Bajic
Ajax 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Paes
↓ 60'
2
L. Rosa
↓ 46'
3
A. Bouwman
4
Y. Baas
5
O. Wijndal
↓ 59'
6
Y. Regeer
↓ 60'
8
J. Mokio
↓ 46'
7
S. Berghuis
↓ 46' 🟨 39'
10
O. Gloukh
↓ 60'
11
M. Godts
↓ 70'
9
D. Konadu
↓ 60'
Substitutes
12
P. Reverson
↑ 60'
17
O. Edvardsen
🎯 84' ↑ 70'
16
A. Gaaei
↑ 46'
21
A. Ouazane
⚽ 84' ↑ 60'
18
D. Klaassen
↑ 46'
15
Caio Henrique
↑ 59'
22
J. Johnson
↑ 60'
19
P. Nash
↑ 46'
20
M. Abdalla
↑ 60'
AEK Larnaca 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
51
A. Paraskevas
↓ 79'
21
Miramon
↓ 63'
27
Z. Adoni
↓ 63'
15
H. Milicevic
↓ 63'
13
Y. Gurfinkel
↓ 63'
6
I. Pankov
14
A. Layouni
↓ 63'
25
C. Kyriakou
↓ 63'
20
J. Repas
↓ 79'
9
D. Ivanovic
↓ 63'
11
R. Bajic
↓ 29'
Substitutes
99
D. Demetriou
1
V. Muftic
↑ 79'
12
A. Koulentros
4
E. Saborit
↑ 63'
7
Ledes Gustavo
↑ 63'
23
J. Izquierdo
↑ 63'
17
K. Pileas
↑ 63'
30
N. Andereggen
10
W. Rubio
↑ 29'
2
P. Ioannou
↑ 63' 🟨 82'
37
D. Gerasimou
8
M. van der Hoorn
↑ 63'
22
G. Ekpolo
29
G. Naoum
18
Y. Chacon
86
Y. Amyn
32
S. Anastasiou
↑ 63'
41
M. Hadjichambi
↑ 79'
Last matches: Ajax
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
0
0
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
23.07.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
0
1
L
16.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
07.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
PAOK
2
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
Helmond Sport
2
1
W
22.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
W
16.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
06.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
0
W
03.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
25.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
W
18.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
1
1
D
14.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
05.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
16.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
06.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
3
0
W
01.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
1
1
D
22.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
H2H: Ajax vs AEK Larnaca
10.07.26
H2H
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
Last matches: Ajax
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
0
0
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
05.01.26
Fri
Ajax
Seraing United
4
0
W
14.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
2
0
W
02.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ajax
10.07.26
H2H
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
16.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
07.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
PAOK
2
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
Helmond Sport
2
1
W
22.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
W
10.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
03.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
18.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
1
1
D
05.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
16.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
22.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
08.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
25.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
1
W
10.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
0
1
L
22.12.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
AEL
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
BK Hacken
1
1
D
01.12.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
1
1
D
27.11.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
22.11.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
4
1
W
02.11.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
2
1
W
H2H away: AEK Larnaca
10.07.26
H2H
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
L