SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
12.09.2026 13:00
Strawberry Arena

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.8%
1.28
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.65
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.9%
1.09
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
AIK Stockholm Win 47.5%
Draw 21.3%
Vasteras SK FK Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AIK Stockholm1.55
Vasteras SK FK1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
WWDLW
44 GF / 47 GA
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
WLDWL
43 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
19
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
16
4.47
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 28 matches
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 29 matches
AIK Stockholm Statistic Vasteras SK FK
12 Wins 11
7 Draws 7
9 Losses 11
44 Goals For 43
47 Goals Against 44
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
19 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 10
4.47 Shots On Goal 3.95
12.89 Total Shots 10.9
5 Corners 4.3
51.1% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with AIK Stockholm's more proactive style and Vasteras SK FK's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vasteras SK FK. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

AIK Stockholm Analysis

From their first 18 matches, AIK Stockholm have collected 31 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 28:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Johan Hove (5 goals), Linus Carlstrand (5 goals), Zadok Yohanna (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Filling (3 assists), Zadok Yohanna (2 assists), Dino Beširović (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

Vasteras SK FK sit 8 with 29 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 28:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikkel Ladefoged (8 goals), Taonsa Axel (4 goals), Marcus Baggesen (2 goals), with creative support from Ismet Lushaku (4 assists), Marcus Baggesen (3 assists), Simon Gefvert (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, AIK Stockholm won 3 times, Vasteras SK FK won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from AIK Stockholm's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: AIK Stockholm 3-4-3 / Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
Missing players: AIK Stockholm 9, Vasteras SK FK 5
H2H summary: AIK Stockholm wins 3, draws 3, Vasteras SK FK wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 3 3 48:27 21 45
W L L L D
2 20 12 2 6 44:19 25 38
W W W W L
3 20 11 4 5 45:19 26 37
D L W W W
4 20 8 8 4 33:29 4 32
D L W W L
5 19 9 5 5 28:27 1 32
D W W W L
6 20 8 7 5 28:21 7 31
L W D W W
7 20 9 3 8 33:30 3 30
D W L W L
8 20 8 5 7 28:34 -6 29
L W D L W
9 20 7 6 7 25:18 7 27
D W L L W
10 20 7 6 7 29:32 -3 27
W L W W D
11 20 7 5 8 28:40 -12 26
W W D L W
12 19 5 5 9 25:33 -8 20
L L L W L
13 20 5 4 11 21:30 -9 19
L L D L L
14 20 5 4 11 19:31 -12 19
W L L W W
15 20 3 6 11 23:43 -20 15
D L D L L
16 20 2 5 13 13:37 -24 11
L W D L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation