AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL 2
11.09.2026 09:30
John Cain Memorial Park

Northcote City vs Bulleen Lions Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.8%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Northcote City Win 24.2%
Draw 10%
Bulleen Lions Win 65.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northcote City1.51
Bulleen Lions1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northcote City Northcote City
WWDLW
44 GF / 29 GA
Bulleen Lions Bulleen Lions
WLDWL
50 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
15
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northcote City Northcote City 26 matches
Bulleen Lions Bulleen Lions 26 matches
Northcote City Statistic Bulleen Lions
15 Wins 14
4 Draws 6
7 Losses 6
44 Goals For 50
29 Goals Against 32
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
15 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bulleen Lions have the edge after taking the first leg 3-1, leaving Northcote City needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bulleen Lions having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bulleen Lions. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Bulleen Lions look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Northcote City Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Northcote City arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 49 points after 26 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with goals at 44:29 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Bulleen Lions Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Bulleen Lions arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 48 points after 26 matches. With 14 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses plus a goal ratio of 50:32, they bring very strong form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)

Standings

Victoria NPL 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 2 7 50:32 18 53
W W D D W
2 26 16 4 6 49:24 25 52
D L D W W
3 26 15 4 7 44:29 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 14 6 6 50:32 18 48
W W W W W
5 26 14 4 8 59:36 23 46
W W L W W
6 26 11 6 9 58:41 17 39
D W W L L
7 26 12 3 11 30:26 4 39
W L D W L
8 26 10 3 13 49:51 -2 33
L L W W W
9 26 10 2 14 37:52 -15 32
D L L L L
10 26 8 6 12 46:54 -8 30
D W L L L
11 26 9 3 14 38:58 -20 30
L L L L L
12 26 7 5 14 35:40 -5 26
W L D L D
13 26 8 1 17 46:72 -26 25
L L L L W
14 26 4 5 17 14:58 -44 17
L L D W L