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23.10.2026 18:45
Bartons North Wales Stadium

Holywell vs Penybont Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 87.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
87.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Holywell Win 7.6%
Draw 4.6%
Penybont Win 87.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holywell1.05
Penybont2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holywell Holywell
WWDLW
17 GF / 47 GA
Penybont Penybont
WLDWL
28 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.75
3.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
13
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holywell Holywell 15 matches
Penybont Penybont 16 matches
Holywell Statistic Penybont
0 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
11 Losses 3
17 Goals For 28
47 Goals Against 15
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
13 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Penybont's more proactive style and Holywell's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Penybont. Penybont carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 30 points while Holywell sit 16 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Penybont having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Penybont look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Holywell Analysis

Holywell sit 16 with 2 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats with a 14:44 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Penybont Analysis

Penybont approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 30 points after 13 outings. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:11, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Holywell won 0 times, Penybont won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Holywell's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Holywell wins 0, draws 0, Penybont wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)