SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
16.09.2026 17:00
Strawberry Arena

AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AIK Stockholm Win 86.3%
Draw 6.9%
Mjallby AIF Win 6.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AIK Stockholm1.64
Mjallby AIF1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
WWDLW
44 GF / 47 GA
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
WLDWL
44 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
19
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
19
4.47
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 28 matches
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 32 matches
AIK Stockholm Statistic Mjallby AIF
12 Wins 8
7 Draws 9
9 Losses 15
44 Goals For 44
47 Goals Against 56
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
19 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 14
4.47 Shots On Goal 3.64
12.89 Total Shots 9.44
5 Corners 3.56
51.1% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AIK Stockholm's more proactive style and Mjallby AIF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mjallby AIF. AIK Stockholm arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 32 points compared to Mjallby AIF in 12 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Mjallby AIF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

AIK Stockholm Analysis

AIK Stockholm approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 32 points after 19 outings. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Hove (5 goals), L. Carlstrand (5 goals), Zadok Yohanna (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Filling (3 assists), Zadok Yohanna (2 assists), Dino Beširović (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Mjallby AIF Analysis

With 20 points from 19 games and a place of 12, Mjallby AIF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 25:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Bergström (7 goals), Elliot Stroud (3 goals), Olle Lindberg (3 goals), with creative support from Abdoulie Manneh (3 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), Áki Samuelsen (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, AIK Stockholm won 7 times, Mjallby AIF won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from AIK Stockholm's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.2%)
Predicted formations: AIK Stockholm 3-4-3 / Mjallby AIF 3-4-3
H2H summary: AIK Stockholm wins 7, draws 4, Mjallby AIF wins 3

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 3 3 48:27 21 45
W L L L D
2 20 12 2 6 44:19 25 38
W W W W L
3 20 11 4 5 45:19 26 37
D L W W W
4 20 8 8 4 33:29 4 32
D L W W L
5 19 9 5 5 28:27 1 32
D W W W L
6 20 8 7 5 28:21 7 31
L W D W W
7 20 9 3 8 33:30 3 30
D W L W L
8 20 8 5 7 28:34 -6 29
L W D L W
9 20 7 6 7 25:18 7 27
D W L L W
10 20 7 6 7 29:32 -3 27
W L W W D
11 20 7 5 8 28:40 -12 26
W W D L W
12 19 5 5 9 25:33 -8 20
L L L W L
13 20 5 4 11 21:30 -9 19
L L D L L
14 20 5 4 11 19:31 -12 19
W L L W W
15 20 3 6 11 23:43 -20 15
D L D L L
16 20 2 5 13 13:37 -24 11
L W D L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation