COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
22.08.2026 20:30
Estadio Cincuentenario
Referee: Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa
Águilas Doradas
Match Timeline
Millonarios
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ricardo Márquez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
7'
John Ontaneda
Águilas Doradas
🟨
11'
Javier Mena
Águilas Doradas
🟨
14'
Mateo García
Millonarios
🔄
25'
R. Contreras ↔ A. Estupinan
Millonarios
🟨
40'
Jhonier Guerrero
Millonarios
🟨
50'
Iván Rojas
Águilas Doradas
🟨
50'
Anthony Vásquez
Águilas Doradas
52'
L. Castro · Assist: S. Valencia
Millonarios
🟨
55'
Rodrigo Ureña
Millonarios
57'
R. Urena
Águilas Doradas
🟨
60'
Sebastián Valencia
Millonarios
🔄
64'
A. Ricaurte ↔ J. E. Avalo Trejos
Águilas Doradas
🔄
64'
J. Noguera ↔ M. Ramirez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
66'
M. Garcia ↔ D. Ruiz
Millonarios
🔄
66'
↔ Leonai Souza
Millonarios
🔄
73'
S. Valencia ↔ D. Banguero
Millonarios
🔄
73'
F. Chaverra ↔ D. Silva
Millonarios
🟨
75'
Andrés Mosquera
Águilas Doradas
🔄
76'
J. Melendez ↔ S. Rodriguez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
77'
A. Vasquez ↔ R. Marquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
90+2'
E. Arizalas ↔ F. A. Suarez Chalare
Águilas Doradas

Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Águilas Doradas Win 57.5%
Draw 12.5%
Millonarios Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas1.12
Millonarios1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Millonarios Millonarios
WLDWL
34 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
14
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
3.73
Shots on Goal
5.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 22 matches
Millonarios Millonarios 26 matches
Águilas Doradas Statistic Millonarios
9 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
7 Losses 11
25 Goals For 34
28 Goals Against 28
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
14 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 8
3.73 Shots On Goal 5.36
11.59 Total Shots 15.45
3.91 Corners 6
48.3% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Millonarios's more proactive style and Águilas Doradas's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Águilas Doradas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Millonarios in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Millonarios having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Millonarios. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

Águilas Doradas are currently 12 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Ricaurte (1 goals), Frank Lozano (1 goals), Javier Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Andrés Ricaurte (1 assists), Jhon Meléndez (1 assists), Eduar Arízalas (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Millonarios Analysis

So far, Millonarios have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:23 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rodrigo Contreras (1 goals), Andrés Llinás (1 goals), Leonardo Castro (1 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Contreras (1 assists), Francisco Chaverra (1 assists), Andrey Estupiñán (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Águilas Doradas won 3 times, Millonarios won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Águilas Doradas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1 / Millonarios 5-4-1
H2H summary: Águilas Doradas wins 3, draws 7, Millonarios wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W D D L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification