COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Estadio Cincuentenario

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds 3.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
3.46
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.12
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.40
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Águilas Doradas Win 57.5%
Draw 12.5%
Millonarios Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas1.12
Millonarios1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Millonarios Millonarios
WLDWL
34 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
14
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
3.73
Shots on Goal
5.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 22 matches
Millonarios Millonarios 26 matches
Águilas Doradas Statistic Millonarios
9 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
7 Losses 11
25 Goals For 34
28 Goals Against 28
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
14 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 8
3.73 Shots On Goal 5.36
11.59 Total Shots 15.45
3.91 Corners 6
48.3% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Millonarios's more proactive style and Águilas Doradas's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Águilas Doradas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Millonarios in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Millonarios having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Millonarios. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

Águilas Doradas are currently 12 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Ricaurte (1 goals), Frank Lozano (1 goals), Javier Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Andrés Ricaurte (1 assists), Jhon Meléndez (1 assists), Eduar Arízalas (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Millonarios Analysis

So far, Millonarios have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:23 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rodrigo Contreras (1 goals), Andrés Llinás (1 goals), Leonardo Castro (1 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Contreras (1 assists), Francisco Chaverra (1 assists), Andrey Estupiñán (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Águilas Doradas won 3 times, Millonarios won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Águilas Doradas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1 / Millonarios 5-4-1
H2H summary: Águilas Doradas wins 3, draws 7, Millonarios wins 5
Last matches: Águilas Doradas
19.08.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Llaneros
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Santa Fe
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Once Caldas
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Fortaleza FC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Junior
0
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
01.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1
4
L
27.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Jaguares
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
America de Cali
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Chico
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Cucuta
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Llaneros
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
2
1
W
Last matches: Millonarios
05.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Junior
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Colo Colo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Universitario
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
2
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
America de Cali
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Santa Fe
1
1
D
02.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Jaguares
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Fortaleza FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Once Caldas
4
1
W
18.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
1
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Cucuta
2
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
5
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Llaneros
2
1
W
11.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
H2H: Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios
11.02.26
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
1
2
L
16.03.25
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
2
1
W
16.02.24
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
0
1
W
03.09.23
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
2
0
W
19.03.23
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
14.08.22
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
17.02.22
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
2
0
L
03.10.21
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
0
L
26.03.21
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
12.10.20
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
0
0
D
29.10.19
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
05.05.19
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
01.09.18
H2H
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
Last matches: Águilas Doradas
19.08.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Llaneros
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Santa Fe
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Once Caldas
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Junior
0
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
America de Cali
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Cucuta
3
2
W
29.01.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
2
1
W
25.01.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
14.11.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
28.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Envigado
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
13.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
08.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Chico
2
0
W
H2H at home: Águilas Doradas
30.08.25
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
1
2
L
25.08.24
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
2
1
W
03.09.23
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
2
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
26.03.21
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
29.10.19
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
Last matches: Millonarios
02.08.26
Pri
Millonarios
Junior
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Universitario
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
America de Cali
1
3
L
02.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Jaguares
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Once Caldas
4
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
29.01.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
18.01.26
Pri
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Millonarios
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
12.01.26
Fri
Millonarios
River Plate
0
1
L
13.11.25
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Millonarios
Envigado
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Millonarios
Santa Fe
1
0
W
15.10.25
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
2
3
L
28.09.25
Pri
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
0
3
L
30.08.25
Pri
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
2
1
W
H2H away: Millonarios
30.08.25
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
1
2
W
25.08.24
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
2
1
L
03.09.23
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
2
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
26.03.21
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
29.10.19
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.19
Draw 3.15
Home 3.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.85
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.45
Over 3.5 3.71
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.76
Under 2.0 2.37
Under 2.25 1.94
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.5 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.15
Draw 3.10
Home 3.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.10
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.30
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.16
Draw 3.15
Home 3.42
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 1.97
Home 4.24
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.47
Draw 2.33
Home 3.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.04
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.41
Over 2.0 1.54
Over 2.25 1.85
Over 2.5 2.09
Over 2.75 2.35
Over 3.0 2.91
Over 3.25 3.23
Over 3.5 3.58
Over 3.75 4.50
Over 4.0 6.30
Over 4.25 6.70
Over 4.5 7.10
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 7.70
Under 0.75 7.09
Under 1.0 6.45
Under 1.25 3.86
Under 1.5 2.92
Under 1.75 2.59
Under 2.0 2.24
Under 2.25 1.90
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.49
Under 3.0 1.33
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 3.25
Home 3.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 2.05
Home 3.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.38
Home 3.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.0 1.58
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 2.75 2.48
Over 3.0 3.15
Over 3.25 3.45
Over 3.5 3.80
Over 3.75 4.70
Over 4.0 6.40
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 2.0 2.18
Under 2.25 1.83
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.25
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.07

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D L L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification