COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
19.08.2026 21:00
Estadio Alberto Grisales
Referee: Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Águilas Doradas
Match Timeline
Llaneros
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Howell Mena
Llaneros
🟨
36'
Francisco Meza
Llaneros
42'
Anthony Vásquez
Águilas Doradas
VAR
45+4'
Joel Contreras
Llaneros
45'
J. Contreras
Llaneros
🔄
59'
J. Contreras ↔ A. Moralez
Llaneros
🔄
59'
N. Ospina ↔ Kelvin Osorio
Llaneros
🔄
63'
I. Rojas ↔ J. E. Avalo Trejos
Águilas Doradas
🔄
69'
A. Vasquez ↔ R. Marquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
69'
J. Noguera ↔ F. A. Suarez Chalare
Águilas Doradas
🔄
69'
L. Miranda ↔ F. Castaneda
Llaneros
🔄
69'
Y. Mena ↔ C. Cortes
Llaneros
VAR
76'
Andrés Ricaurte
Águilas Doradas
78'
R. Marquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
82'
H. H. Mena Posada ↔ J. Ramirez
Llaneros
🔄
85'
J. Melendez ↔ S. Rodriguez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
85'
E. Arizalas ↔ A. Carreno
Águilas Doradas
🟨
90+5'
Juan Ramirez
Llaneros

Águilas Doradas vs Llaneros Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Águilas Doradas Win 65%
Draw 5.9%
Llaneros Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas1.08
Llaneros1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WWDLW
24 GF / 27 GA
Llaneros Llaneros
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
5
3.76
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 21 matches
Llaneros Llaneros 23 matches
Águilas Doradas Statistic Llaneros
9 Wins 6
5 Draws 11
7 Losses 6
24 Goals For 22
27 Goals Against 23
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 7
3.76 Shots On Goal 3.86
11.52 Total Shots 10.68
3.86 Corners 5.18
47.1% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Llaneros. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Águilas Doradas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Llaneros in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Llaneros having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

Águilas Doradas are currently 12 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Andrés Ricaurte (1 goals), Frank Lozano (1 goals), Javier Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Andrés Ricaurte (1 assists), Jhon Meléndez (1 assists), Eduar Arízalas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Llaneros Analysis

Llaneros approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 22 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Neider Ospina (1 goals), Francisco Meza (1 goals), with creative support from Neider Ospina (1 assists), Jhon Vásquez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Águilas Doradas won 1 times, Llaneros won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Águilas Doradas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1 / Llaneros 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Águilas Doradas wins 1, draws 2, Llaneros wins 1

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification