COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alberto Grisales
Referee: Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Águilas Doradas
Match Timeline
Llaneros
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Howell Mena
Llaneros
🟨
36'
Francisco Meza
Llaneros
42'
Anthony Vásquez
Águilas Doradas
45+2'
Joel Contreras
Llaneros
VAR
45+4'
Joel Contreras
Llaneros
🔄
59'
Neider Ospina ↔ Kelvin Osorio
Llaneros
🔄
59'
Joel Contreras ↔ Alejandro Moralez
Llaneros
🔄
63'
Iván Rojas ↔ Juan Ávalo
Águilas Doradas
🔄
69'
Anthony Vásquez ↔ Ricardo Márquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
69'
Junior Noguera ↔ Fabián Suárez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
69'
Yorleys Mena ↔ Carlos Cortés
Llaneros
🔄
69'
Luis Miranda ↔ Frank Castañeda
Llaneros
VAR
76'
Andrés Ricaurte
Águilas Doradas
78'
Ricardo Márquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
82'
Howell Mena ↔ Juan Ramirez
Llaneros
🔄
85'
Jhon Meléndez ↔ Sebastián Rodríguez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
85'
Eduar Arízalas ↔ Andrés Carreño
Águilas Doradas
🟨
90+5'
Juan Ramirez
Llaneros

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65%
Odds 1.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65%
1.98
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Águilas Doradas Win 65%
Draw 5.9%
Llaneros Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas1.08
Llaneros1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WWDLW
24 GF / 27 GA
Llaneros Llaneros
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
5
3.76
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 21 matches
Llaneros Llaneros 23 matches
Águilas Doradas Statistic Llaneros
9 Wins 6
5 Draws 11
7 Losses 6
24 Goals For 22
27 Goals Against 23
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 7
3.76 Shots On Goal 3.86
11.52 Total Shots 10.68
3.86 Corners 5.18
47.1% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Llaneros. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Águilas Doradas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Llaneros in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Llaneros having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

Águilas Doradas are currently 12 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Andrés Ricaurte (1 goals), Frank Lozano (1 goals), Javier Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Andrés Ricaurte (1 assists), Jhon Meléndez (1 assists), Eduar Arízalas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Llaneros Analysis

Llaneros approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 22 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Neider Ospina (1 goals), Francisco Meza (1 goals), with creative support from Neider Ospina (1 assists), Jhon Vásquez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Águilas Doradas won 1 times, Llaneros won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Águilas Doradas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1 / Llaneros 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Águilas Doradas wins 1, draws 1, Llaneros wins 1
Stats
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
Llaneros Llaneros
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 1
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
499 Total passes 186
410 Passes accurate 102
2.53 expected_goals 0.60
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Águilas Doradas
Formation
Llaneros
Jorge Soto
Jorge Soto
Jhon Meléndez
Jhon Meléndez
Andrés Mosquera
Andrés Mosquera
John Ontaneda
John Ontaneda
Javier Mena
Javier Mena
Frank Lozano
Frank Lozano
Iván Rojas
Iván Rojas
Junior Noguera
Junior Noguera
Andrés Ricaurte
Andrés Ricaurte
Eduar Arízalas
Eduar Arízalas
Anthony Vásquez
Anthony Vásquez
Juan Loaiza
Juan Loaiza
Juan Pertuz
Juan Pertuz
Howell Mena
Howell Mena
Francisco Meza
Francisco Meza
Jhojan Escobar
Jhojan Escobar
Jhon Vásquez
Jhon Vásquez
Luis Miranda
Luis Miranda
Juan Castilla
Juan Castilla
Joel Contreras
Joel Contreras
Neider Ospina
Neider Ospina
Yorleys Mena
Yorleys Mena
Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Jorge Soto
G
13
Jhon Meléndez
↓ 85'
D
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
3
John Ontaneda
D
32
Javier Mena
D
19
Frank Lozano
M
6
Iván Rojas
↓ 63'
M
10
Junior Noguera
↓ 69'
M
8
Andrés Ricaurte
M
7
Eduar Arízalas
↓ 85'
M
9
Anthony Vásquez
⚽ 42' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
24
Juan Ávalo
↑ 63'
M
21
Ricardo Márquez
⚽ 78' ↑ 69'
F
15
Fabián Suárez
↑ 69'
F
28
Sebastián Rodríguez
↑ 85'
D
18
Andrés Carreño
↑ 85'
F
34
Hector Arango
G
30
Nicolás Lara
D
29
Tomás Blandón
F
14
Angel Cortes
M
Llaneros 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
Juan Loaiza
G
4
Juan Pertuz
D
2
Howell Mena
↓ 82' 🟨 32'
D
21
Francisco Meza
🟨 36'
D
16
Jhojan Escobar
D
95
Jhon Vásquez
M
7
Luis Miranda
↓ 69'
M
13
Juan Castilla
M
70
Joel Contreras
⚽ 45+2' ↓ 59'
M
10
Neider Ospina
↓ 59'
F
17
Yorleys Mena
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
23
Alejandro Moralez
↑ 59'
D
33
Kelvin Osorio
↑ 59'
M
32
Frank Castañeda
↑ 69'
F
9
Carlos Cortés
↑ 69'
F
8
Juan Ramirez
↑ 82' 🟨 90+5'
M
22
Roameth Romaña
G
94
Jimmy Medranda
D
Last matches: Águilas Doradas
01.08.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Santa Fe
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Once Caldas
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Fortaleza FC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Junior
0
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
01.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1
4
L
27.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Jaguares
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
America de Cali
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Chico
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Cucuta
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Llaneros
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
2
1
W
25.01.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
Last matches: Llaneros
04.08.26
Pri
Llaneros
Fortaleza FC
3
1
W
31.07.26
Pri
Llaneros
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Llaneros
Chico
0
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Junior
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Santa Fe
1
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Once Caldas
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
America de Cali
0
0
D
17.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Cucuta
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Jaguares
2
0
W
05.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Independiente Medellin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Millonarios
1
2
L
10.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Llaneros
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
H2H: Águilas Doradas vs Llaneros
02.02.26
H2H
Llaneros
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Llaneros
Águilas Doradas
0
1
W
07.04.25
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Llaneros
1
2
L
Last matches: Águilas Doradas
26.07.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Santa Fe
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Once Caldas
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Junior
0
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
America de Cali
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Cucuta
3
2
W
29.01.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
2
1
W
25.01.26
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
14.11.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
28.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Envigado
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
13.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
08.10.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Chico
2
0
W
04.08.25
Pri
Águilas Doradas
Fortaleza FC
2
2
D
H2H at home: Águilas Doradas
07.04.25
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Llaneros
1
2
L
Last matches: Llaneros
31.07.26
Pri
Llaneros
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Llaneros
Chico
0
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Junior
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Llaneros
Santa Fe
1
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
America de Cali
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Llaneros
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Millonarios
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pri
Llaneros
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
16.01.26
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pereira
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Llaneros
Internacional de Bogota
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pri
Llaneros
Deportes Tolima
1
3
L
25.10.25
Pri
Llaneros
Bucaramanga
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Llaneros
Santa Fe
3
1
W
27.09.25
Pri
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
1
3
L
14.09.25
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
29.08.25
Pri
Llaneros
Junior
0
4
L
16.08.25
Pri
Llaneros
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
02.08.25
Pri
Llaneros
Deportivo Cali
3
0
W
H2H away: Llaneros
07.04.25
H2H
Águilas Doradas
Llaneros
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.17
Draw 3.21
Home 1.98
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.52
Over 2.0 1.70
Over 2.25 2.01
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 2.75 2.71
Over 3.5 4.23
Under 1.5 2.87
Under 1.75 2.52
Under 2.0 2.15
Under 2.25 1.82
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 3.30
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.05
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.06
Draw 3.12
Home 1.97
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.04
Draw 1.93
Home 2.61
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.43
Draw 2.28
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.23
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 1.75 1.49
Over 2.0 1.66
Over 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 2.75 2.55
Over 3.0 3.24
Over 3.25 3.52
Over 3.5 3.90
Over 3.75 4.90
Over 4.0 6.90
Over 4.25 7.19
Over 4.5 7.50
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.55
Under 0.75 6.04
Under 1.0 5.45
Under 1.25 3.42
Under 1.5 2.66
Under 1.75 2.36
Under 2.0 2.03
Under 2.25 1.79
Under 2.5 1.61
Under 2.75 1.42
Under 3.0 1.27
Under 3.25 1.22
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 3.35
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 2.04
Home 2.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.33
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.68
Over 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 2.75 2.65
Over 3.0 3.45
Over 3.25 3.80
Over 3.5 4.10
Over 3.75 5.10
Over 4.0 7.50
Over 4.5 10.50
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.0 5.50
Under 1.25 3.40
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 1.75 2.33
Under 2.0 2.00
Under 2.25 1.71
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.26
Under 3.25 1.21
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.5 1.02

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D L L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification